Pagerduty Stock Market Outlook
| PD Stock | USD 6.78 0.33 4.64% |
About 58% of Pagerduty's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Pagerduty suggests that many traders are, at the present time, alarmed. The current market sentiment, together with Pagerduty's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Pagerduty stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 42
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Pagerduty's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Pagerduty.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Pagerduty is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pagerduty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PD positions.
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Execute Pagerduty Advice
The Pagerduty recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pagerduty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pagerduty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pagerduty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Pagerduty has a Mean Deviation of 2.54, Standard Deviation of 4.17 and Variance of 17.37We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Pagerduty. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Pagerduty is not overpriced, please check all Pagerduty fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Pagerduty has a number of shares shorted of 8.04 M, we recommend you to check out Pagerduty market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Pagerduty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Pagerduty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pagerduty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pagerduty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 467.5 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (54.46 M) with gross profit of 413.12 M. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: PagerDuty Hits New 52-Week Low - Time to Sell - MarketBeat |
Pagerduty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Pagerduty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pagerduty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pagerduty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pagerduty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pagerduty returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Pagerduty.
| Mean Return | -1.15 | Value At Risk | -9.08 | Potential Upside | 3.09 | Standard Deviation | 4.17 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pagerduty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Pagerduty Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Hhg Plc | 2025-06-30 | 1.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Scalar Gauge Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 976.9 K | Citigroup Inc | 2025-06-30 | 969.8 K | Barclays Plc | 2025-06-30 | 898.4 K | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 896.4 K | Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp | 2025-06-30 | 837.4 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 10.8 M | Ark Investment Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 8.6 M |
Pagerduty Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 10.6M | (75.8M) | 92.6M | (18.3M) | (16.5M) | (15.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (12.8M) | 8.5M | 64.4M | 108.4M | 124.7M | 130.9M | |
| Depreciation | 8.4M | 17.4M | 40.7M | 20.6M | 23.7M | 13.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 25.0M | 27M | 12.4M | 34.2M | 39.3M | 41.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 6.8M | 8.5M | 7.5M | 9.5M | 10.9M | 6.5M | |
| Net Income | (107.5M) | (129.2M) | (81.8M) | (54.5M) | (49.0M) | (51.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 349.8M | 274.0M | 366.7M | 348.3M | 400.6M | 272.1M | |
| Investments | 24.3M | (9.6M) | (30.5M) | (20.0M) | (23.0M) | (24.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 26.9M | 50.1M | 78.3M | 110.4M | 127.0M | 64.3M |
Pagerduty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pagerduty or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pagerduty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pagerduty stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Pagerduty Volatility Alert
Pagerduty exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.91 and kurtosis of 12.65. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pagerduty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pagerduty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Pagerduty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Pagerduty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pagerduty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pagerduty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pagerduty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pagerduty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pagerduty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Pagerduty to competition |
| Fundamentals | Pagerduty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.66 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0059 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 513.28 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 91.78 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.29 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.04 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 467.5 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 413.12 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (11.89 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (54.46 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 298.94 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.28 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 463.65 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.21 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.50 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 117.89 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.83 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.46 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (6.67) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 14.71 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.24 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 662.98 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 927.27 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (595.17 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 342.56 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 927.27 M |
Note: Acquisition by Jennifer Tejada of 31368 shares of Pagerduty subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Pagerduty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pagerduty . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 422227.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.54) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.98 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.33) |
Pagerduty Target Price Consensus
Pagerduty target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Pagerduty's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 13 | Buy |
Most Pagerduty analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Pagerduty stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Pagerduty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationPagerduty Target Price Projection
Pagerduty's current and average target prices are 6.78 and 14.71, respectively. The current price of Pagerduty is the price at which Pagerduty is currently trading. On the other hand, Pagerduty's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Pagerduty Target Price
Pagerduty Analyst Ratings
Pagerduty's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Pagerduty stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Pagerduty's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Pagerduty's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Pagerduty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Pagerduty? Buying financial instruments such as Pagerduty Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Pagerduty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Pagerduty Stock refer to our How to Trade Pagerduty Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Pagerduty diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pagerduty. Anticipated expansion of Pagerduty directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Pagerduty data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share 1.46 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Pagerduty requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Pagerduty's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Pagerduty's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Pagerduty's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Pagerduty's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Pagerduty should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Pagerduty's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.