Alcoa Corp Stock Market Value
| AA Stock | USD 39.53 0.62 1.59% |
| Symbol | Alcoa |
Alcoa Corp Price To Book Ratio
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alcoa Corp. If investors know Alcoa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alcoa Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.81 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (1.59) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.116 |
The market value of Alcoa Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcoa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcoa Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcoa Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcoa Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcoa Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alcoa Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alcoa Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alcoa Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Alcoa Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alcoa Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alcoa Corp.
| 12/19/2024 |
| 01/18/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alcoa Corp on December 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alcoa Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alcoa Corp over 30 days. Alcoa Corp is related to or competes with United States, First Majestic, AngloGold Ashanti, Celanese, Dakota Gold, Ivanhoe Electric, and ArcelorMittal. Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the Uni... More
Alcoa Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alcoa Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alcoa Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.85 |
Alcoa Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alcoa Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alcoa Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alcoa Corp historical prices to predict the future Alcoa Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.1) |
Alcoa Corp Backtested Returns
Alcoa Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0163, which signifies that the company had a -0.0163% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alcoa Corp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alcoa Corp's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 1.9 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.6, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alcoa Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alcoa Corp is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Alcoa Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0422%. Please make sure to confirm Alcoa Corp's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Alcoa Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Alcoa Corp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alcoa Corp time series from 19th of December 2024 to 3rd of January 2025 and 3rd of January 2025 to 18th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alcoa Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Alcoa Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.24 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.64 |
Alcoa Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Alcoa Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alcoa Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alcoa Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alcoa Corp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Alcoa Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alcoa Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alcoa Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alcoa Corp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Alcoa Corp Lagged Returns
When evaluating Alcoa Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alcoa Corp stock have on its future price. Alcoa Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alcoa Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alcoa Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alcoa Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Alcoa Corp Correlation, Alcoa Corp Volatility and Alcoa Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alcoa Corp. For information on how to trade Alcoa Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcoa Stock guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Alcoa Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.