Caterpillar Stock Market Value
| CAT Stock | USD 397.49 7.90 2.03% |
| Symbol | Caterpillar |
Caterpillar's Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caterpillar. If investors know Caterpillar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caterpillar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 5.42 | Earnings Share 21.54 | Revenue Per Share 133.301 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Caterpillar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caterpillar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caterpillar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caterpillar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caterpillar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caterpillar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caterpillar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caterpillar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caterpillar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Caterpillar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caterpillar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caterpillar.
| 02/29/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Caterpillar on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caterpillar or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caterpillar over 270 days. Caterpillar is related to or competes with Lion Electric, Xos, Hydrofarm Holdings, AGCO, and Deere. Caterpillar Inc. manufactures and sells construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and industria... More
Caterpillar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caterpillar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caterpillar upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0618 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.38 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.36 |
Caterpillar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caterpillar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caterpillar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caterpillar historical prices to predict the future Caterpillar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1055 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0141 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0728 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1283 |
Caterpillar Backtested Returns
Caterpillar appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Caterpillar secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Caterpillar, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Caterpillar's Mean Deviation of 1.32, risk adjusted performance of 0.1055, and Downside Deviation of 1.64 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Caterpillar holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.87, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Caterpillar will likely underperform. Please check Caterpillar's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Caterpillar's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Caterpillar has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caterpillar time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caterpillar price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Caterpillar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.29 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 645.45 |
Caterpillar lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Caterpillar stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Caterpillar's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Caterpillar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Caterpillar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Caterpillar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Caterpillar stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Caterpillar stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Caterpillar stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Caterpillar Lagged Returns
When evaluating Caterpillar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Caterpillar stock have on its future price. Caterpillar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Caterpillar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Caterpillar stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Caterpillar.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Caterpillar Stock Analysis
When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.