Fossil Group Stock Market Value
| FOSL Stock | USD 3.81 0.17 4.27% |
| Symbol | Fossil |
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. Market participants price Fossil higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Fossil assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Fossil Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fossil's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fossil's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fossil's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Fossil 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fossil's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fossil.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fossil on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fossil Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fossil over 90 days. Fossil is related to or competes with Duluth Holdings, Kandi Technologies, Sleep Number, Plby, Vroom Common, GrowGeneration Corp, and Clarus Corp. Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accesso... More
Fossil Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fossil's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fossil Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1442 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.27 |
Fossil Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fossil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fossil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fossil historical prices to predict the future Fossil's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1246 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6987 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3771 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1677 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3297 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fossil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fossil January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1246 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3397 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.42 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.8 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 634.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.58 | |||
| Variance | 31.18 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1442 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6987 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3771 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1677 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3297 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.56) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2409 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4393 |
Fossil Group Backtested Returns
Fossil is risky given 3 months investment horizon. Fossil Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.2, which denotes the company had a 0.2 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to interpolate and collect twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.15% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Fossil Downside Deviation of 4.8, mean deviation of 4.41, and Coefficient Of Variation of 634.64 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Fossil holds a performance score of 16 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.64, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fossil will likely underperform. Use Fossil value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and price action indicator , to analyze future returns on Fossil.
Auto-correlation | 0.20 |
Weak predictability
Fossil Group has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fossil time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fossil Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Fossil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
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Fossil technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.