Heartland Financial Usa Stock Market Value

HTLF Stock  USD 66.30  1.50  2.31%   
Heartland Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Heartland Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Heartland Financial USA investors about its performance. Heartland Financial is trading at 66.30 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 2.31 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 65.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Heartland Financial USA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Heartland Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Heartland Financial Correlation, Heartland Financial Volatility and Heartland Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Heartland Financial.
Symbol

Heartland Financial USA Price To Book Ratio

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heartland Financial. If investors know Heartland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heartland Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.336
Dividend Share
1.2
Earnings Share
1.78
Revenue Per Share
13.33
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.148
The market value of Heartland Financial USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heartland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heartland Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heartland Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heartland Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heartland Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heartland Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heartland Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heartland Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Heartland Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Heartland Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Heartland Financial.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Heartland Financial on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Heartland Financial USA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Heartland Financial over 720 days. Heartland Financial is related to or competes with Heritage Commerce, Business First, German American, Texas Capital, Peapack Gladstone, Northfield Bancorp, and Great Southern. Heartland Financial USA, Inc., a multi-bank holding company, provides commercial, small business, and consumer banking s... More

Heartland Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Heartland Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Heartland Financial USA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Heartland Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heartland Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Heartland Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Heartland Financial historical prices to predict the future Heartland Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.8966.3068.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.0153.4272.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.7764.1866.59
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.7636.0039.96
Details

Heartland Financial USA Backtested Returns

Heartland Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Heartland Financial USA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Heartland Financial USA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Heartland Financial's risk adjusted performance of 0.1239, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1688 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Heartland Financial holds a performance score of 10. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.34, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Heartland Financial will likely underperform. Please check Heartland Financial's value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Heartland Financial's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Heartland Financial USA has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Heartland Financial time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Heartland Financial USA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Heartland Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance102.98

Heartland Financial USA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Heartland Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Heartland Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Heartland Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Heartland Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Heartland Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Heartland Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Heartland Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Heartland Financial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Heartland Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Heartland Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Heartland Financial stock have on its future price. Heartland Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Heartland Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Heartland Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Heartland Financial USA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Heartland Financial USA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Heartland Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Heartland Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Heartland Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Heartland Financial Correlation, Heartland Financial Volatility and Heartland Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Heartland Financial.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Heartland Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Heartland Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Heartland Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...