Therealreal Stock Market Value
| REAL Stock | USD 5.33 0.59 12.45% |
| Symbol | TheRealReal |
TheRealReal Price To Book Ratio
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TheRealReal. If investors know TheRealReal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TheRealReal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.81) | Revenue Per Share 5.456 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (9.33) |
The market value of TheRealReal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TheRealReal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TheRealReal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TheRealReal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TheRealReal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TheRealReal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TheRealReal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TheRealReal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TheRealReal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
TheRealReal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TheRealReal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TheRealReal.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TheRealReal on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TheRealReal or generate 0.0% return on investment in TheRealReal over 30 days. TheRealReal is related to or competes with Capri Holdings, Movado, Tapestry, Brilliant Earth, Signet Jewelers, Lanvin Group, and MYT Netherlands. The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for consigned luxury goods in the United State More
TheRealReal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TheRealReal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TheRealReal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1979 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.73 |
TheRealReal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TheRealReal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TheRealReal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TheRealReal historical prices to predict the future TheRealReal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1822 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7117 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.304 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.262 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4018 |
TheRealReal Backtested Returns
TheRealReal is unstable given 3 months investment horizon. TheRealReal owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.25, which indicates the firm had a 0.25% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.19% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use TheRealReal Semi Deviation of 2.55, risk adjusted performance of 0.1822, and Coefficient Of Variation of 440.94 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. TheRealReal holds a performance score of 19 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 2.53, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TheRealReal will likely underperform. Use TheRealReal jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to analyze future returns on TheRealReal.
Auto-correlation | 0.82 |
Very good predictability
TheRealReal has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TheRealReal time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TheRealReal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current TheRealReal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.82 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.77 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.2 |
TheRealReal lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TheRealReal stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TheRealReal's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TheRealReal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TheRealReal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TheRealReal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TheRealReal stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TheRealReal stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TheRealReal stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TheRealReal Lagged Returns
When evaluating TheRealReal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TheRealReal stock have on its future price. TheRealReal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TheRealReal autocorrelation shows the relationship between TheRealReal stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TheRealReal.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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TheRealReal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.