Riley Exploration Permian Stock Market Value
| REPX Stock | USD 33.15 0.68 2.01% |
| Symbol | Riley |
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Riley Exploration. If investors know Riley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Riley Exploration listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Riley Exploration Permian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Riley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Riley Exploration's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Riley Exploration's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Riley Exploration's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Riley Exploration's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Riley Exploration's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Riley Exploration is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Riley Exploration's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Riley Exploration 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Riley Exploration's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Riley Exploration.
| 01/02/2025 |
| 02/01/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Riley Exploration on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Riley Exploration Permian or generate 0.0% return on investment in Riley Exploration over 30 days. Riley Exploration is related to or competes with Vital Energy, Permian Resources, Magnolia Oil, Ring Energy, Comstock Resources, Obsidian Energy, and Epsilon Energy. Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, de... More
Riley Exploration Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Riley Exploration's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Riley Exploration Permian upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1252 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.33 |
Riley Exploration Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Riley Exploration's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Riley Exploration's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Riley Exploration historical prices to predict the future Riley Exploration's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1368 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3164 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1833 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1498 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3292 |
Riley Exploration Permian Backtested Returns
Riley Exploration appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Riley Exploration Permian maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.16, which implies the firm had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Riley Exploration Permian, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Riley Exploration's Coefficient Of Variation of 645.17, risk adjusted performance of 0.1368, and Semi Deviation of 1.94 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Riley Exploration holds a performance score of 12. The company holds a Beta of 1.21, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Riley Exploration will likely underperform. Please check Riley Exploration's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Riley Exploration's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.63 |
Very good reverse predictability
Riley Exploration Permian has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Riley Exploration time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Riley Exploration Permian price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Riley Exploration price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.82 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.86 |
Riley Exploration Permian lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Riley Exploration stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Riley Exploration's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Riley Exploration returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Riley Exploration has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Riley Exploration regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Riley Exploration stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Riley Exploration stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Riley Exploration stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Riley Exploration Lagged Returns
When evaluating Riley Exploration's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Riley Exploration stock have on its future price. Riley Exploration autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Riley Exploration autocorrelation shows the relationship between Riley Exploration stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Riley Exploration Permian.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Riley Stock Analysis
When running Riley Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Riley Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riley Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Riley Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riley Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riley Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riley Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.