Southern First Bancshares Stock Market Value
| SFST Stock | USD 37.58 0.78 2.12% |
| Symbol | Southern |
Is Banking space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern First. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southern First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Southern First Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Southern First 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Southern First's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Southern First.
| 01/14/2024 |
| 02/07/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Southern First on January 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Southern First Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Southern First over 390 days. Southern First is related to or competes with First Community, Old Point, Oak Valley, Chemung Financial, Home Bancorp, Lake Shore, and First Bancorp. Southern First Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southern First Bank that provides various banki... More
Southern First Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Southern First's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Southern First Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.79 |
Southern First Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Southern First's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Southern First's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Southern First historical prices to predict the future Southern First's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.45) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.22) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Southern First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Southern First Bancshares Backtested Returns
Southern First Bancshares owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which indicates the firm had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Southern First Bancshares exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Southern First's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), coefficient of variation of (1,101), and Variance of 5.05 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.97, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Southern First returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Southern First is expected to follow. At this point, Southern First Bancshares has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to validate Southern First's value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Southern First Bancshares performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.74 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Southern First Bancshares has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Southern First time series from 14th of January 2024 to 27th of July 2024 and 27th of July 2024 to 7th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Southern First Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Southern First price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 18.91 |
Southern First Bancshares lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Southern First stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Southern First's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Southern First returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Southern First has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Southern First regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Southern First stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Southern First stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Southern First stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Southern First Lagged Returns
When evaluating Southern First's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Southern First stock have on its future price. Southern First autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Southern First autocorrelation shows the relationship between Southern First stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Southern First Bancshares.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Tools for Southern Stock Analysis
When running Southern First's price analysis, check to measure Southern First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southern First is operating at the current time. Most of Southern First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southern First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southern First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southern First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.