Tractor Supply (Germany) Market Value
| TR4 Stock | EUR 52.64 2.74 5.49% |
| Symbol | Tractor |
Tractor Supply 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tractor Supply's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tractor Supply.
| 01/21/2023 |
| 01/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Tractor Supply on January 21, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tractor Supply or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tractor Supply over 720 days. Tractor Supply is related to or competes with ALERION CLEANPOWER, Acadia Healthcare, Garofalo Health, HEMISPHERE EGY, INTERSHOP Communications, CLOVER HEALTH, and FEMALE HEALTH. Tractor Supply Company operates rural lifestyle retail stores in the United States More
Tractor Supply Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tractor Supply's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tractor Supply upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0089 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.79 |
Tractor Supply Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tractor Supply's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tractor Supply's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tractor Supply historical prices to predict the future Tractor Supply's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0238 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0345 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0101 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4201 |
Tractor Supply Backtested Returns
Tractor Supply owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0597, which indicates the firm had a -0.0597% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tractor Supply exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tractor Supply's Coefficient Of Variation of 4512.67, semi deviation of 1.77, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0238 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0856, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tractor Supply's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tractor Supply is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Tractor Supply has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Tractor Supply's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Tractor Supply performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Tractor Supply has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tractor Supply time series from 21st of January 2023 to 16th of January 2024 and 16th of January 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tractor Supply price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Tractor Supply price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.48 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 18.57 |
Tractor Supply lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tractor Supply stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tractor Supply's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tractor Supply returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tractor Supply has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Tractor Supply regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tractor Supply stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tractor Supply stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tractor Supply stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Tractor Supply Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tractor Supply's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tractor Supply stock have on its future price. Tractor Supply autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tractor Supply autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tractor Supply stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tractor Supply.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Tractor Stock
When determining whether Tractor Supply offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tractor Supply's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tractor Supply Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tractor Supply Stock:Check out Tractor Supply Correlation, Tractor Supply Volatility and Tractor Supply Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tractor Supply. For more detail on how to invest in Tractor Stock please use our How to Invest in Tractor Supply guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Tractor Supply technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.