Union Pacific Stock Market Value
| UNP Stock | USD 260.68 1.09 0.42% |
| Symbol | Union |
Can Ground Transportation industry sustain growth momentum? Does Union have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Union Pacific. If investors know Union will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Union Pacific demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.068 | Dividend Share 5.44 | Earnings Share 11.99 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Understanding Union Pacific requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Union's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Union Pacific's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Union Pacific's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Union Pacific's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Union Pacific 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Union Pacific's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Union Pacific.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Union Pacific on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Union Pacific or generate 0.0% return on investment in Union Pacific over 90 days. Union Pacific is related to or competes with Honeywell International, Norfolk Southern, Deere, Canadian National, CSX, Lockheed Martin, and Canadian Pacific. Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in ... More
Union Pacific Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Union Pacific's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Union Pacific upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1328 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 |
Union Pacific Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Union Pacific's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Union Pacific's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Union Pacific historical prices to predict the future Union Pacific's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1531 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.194 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1387 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1305 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3205 |
Union Pacific February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1531 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3305 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9426 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 541.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1328 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.194 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1387 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1305 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3205 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) | |||
| Skewness | (0.14) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.64 |
Union Pacific Backtested Returns
Union Pacific appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Union Pacific owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which indicates the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Union Pacific, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Union Pacific's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1531, coefficient of variation of 541.04, and Semi Deviation of 1.07 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Union Pacific holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 0.74, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Union Pacific's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Union Pacific is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Union Pacific's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Union Pacific's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.17 |
Very weak predictability
Union Pacific has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Union Pacific time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Union Pacific price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Union Pacific price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.3 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 167.34 |
Pair Trading with Union Pacific
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Union Pacific position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Union Pacific will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Union Stock
| 0.97 | CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | CV5 | Covenant Logistics | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | AOMD | Alstom SA | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | ALGIR | Signaux Girod | PairCorr |
Moving against Union Stock
| 0.65 | KLS | Kelsian Group Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | KLS | Kelso Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | ETS | Elite Express Holding | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Union Pacific could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Union Pacific when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Union Pacific - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Union Pacific to buy it.
The correlation of Union Pacific is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Union Pacific moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Union Pacific moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Union Pacific can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis
When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.