Union Pacific Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UNP Stock | USD 239.02 5.46 2.34% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Union Pacific is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Union Pacific given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Union Pacific. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Union Pacific, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Union Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Union Stock, please use our How to Invest in Union Pacific guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Union and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Union Pacific. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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Execute Union Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
The Union recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Union Pacific. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Union Pacific or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Union Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Union Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Union Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Union Pacific has 34.18 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.98, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Union Pacific has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Union to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 82.0% of Union Pacific outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of September 2024 Union Pacific paid $ 1.34 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Port of LA whittles dwell time despite record container volumes |
Union Pacific Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Union Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Union Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Union Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Union Pacific price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Union Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Union Pacific.
| Mean Return | -0.06 | Value At Risk | -2.01 | Potential Upside | 1.68 | Standard Deviation | 1.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Union Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Union Stock Institutional Investors
The Union Pacific's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Union Pacific's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 8.1 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 6.9 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 6.7 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-06-30 | 6.7 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 6.3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 6 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 6 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 5.9 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 58.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 42.8 M |
Union Pacific Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (9M) | 113M | 17M | (120M) | (2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | (472M) | 962M | (835M) | 4M | 87M | 91.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 5.2B | 5.6B | 6.1B | 5.7B | 4.8B | 5.0B | |
| Depreciation | 2.2B | 2.2B | 2.2B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 1.3B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (92M) | 641M | 147M | (152M) | (132M) | (125.4M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.6B | 2.6B | 2.8B | 3.2B | 3.2B | 3.3B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.5B | 2.9B | 2.9B | 3.6B | 3.6B | 2.7B | |
| Net Income | 5.9B | 5.3B | 6.5B | 7.0B | 6.4B | 6.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 856M | 1.8B | 983M | 987M | 1.1B | 844.9M | |
| Change Receivables | (262M) | 160M | 90M | (169M) | (194.4M) | (204.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.8B | 1.5B | 3.0B | 3.6B | 4.1B | 4.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | 546M | 225M | 301M | 86M | 77.4M | 131.5M | |
| Investments | 15M | 5M | 24M | (3.5B) | (3.7B) | (3.5B) |
Union Pacific Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Union Pacific or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Union Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Union stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Union Pacific Volatility Alert
Union Pacific exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.89 and kurtosis of 6.91. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Union Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Union Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Union Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Union Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Union Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Union Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Union Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Union Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Union Pacific to competition |
| Fundamentals | Union Pacific | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.43 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0899 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.40 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 173.16 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 606.26 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 81.81 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.01 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 19.05 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.53 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.83 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 24.12 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 13.37 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 11.93 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 6.38 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 973 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 34.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.98 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.77 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.32 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 8.38 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.14 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 10.87 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.44 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 258.96 | |
| Number Of Employees | 30.52 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.06 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 141.6 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 67.13 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 62.09 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (958 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Jane Lute of 408 shares of Union Pacific subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Union Pacific Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Union . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Union Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Union Pacific? Buying financial instruments such as Union Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis
When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.