Union Pacific Valuation

UNP Stock  USD 261.32  6.98  2.74%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Union Pacific has a current Real Value of $280.24 per share. The regular price of the company is $261.32. Our model measures the value of Union Pacific from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.4, shares outstanding of 593.39 M, and Operating Margin of 0.41 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Union Pacific's valuation include:
Price Book
8.1726
Enterprise Value
182.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
14.0826
Price Sales
6.3266
Forward PE
20.284
Undervalued
Today
261.32
Please note that Union Pacific's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Union Pacific is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Union Pacific's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Union Pacific's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 261.32, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  261.32 Real  280.24 Target  264.42 Hype  261.42
The intrinsic value of Union Pacific's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Union Pacific's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
235.19
Downside
280.24
Real Value
281.63
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Union Pacific helps investors to forecast how Union stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Union Pacific more accurately as focusing exclusively on Union Pacific's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
2.682.822.90
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
260.03261.42262.81
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
240.62264.42293.50
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Union Pacific's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Union Pacific's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Union Pacific's closest peers.

Union Pacific Cash

814.7 Million

Union Revenue by Product

Union Pacific Total Value Analysis

Union Pacific is at this time estimated to have company total value of 182.23 B with market capitalization of 155.07 B, debt of 31.81 B, and cash on hands of 1.27 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Union Pacific fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
182.23 B
155.07 B
31.81 B
1.27 B

Union Pacific Investor Information

About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.91. Union Pacific recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of June 2014. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Union Pacific's historical financial statements, Union Pacific is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate risk of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.420.4014
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating ActivitiesB9.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income10.3 B9.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Union Pacific Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Union Pacific has an asset utilization ratio of 35.17 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.35 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Union Pacific is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Union Pacific Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Union Pacific's financial statements, Union Pacific is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great risk to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Union Pacific's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
1.8 B
Current Value
1.8 B
Quarterly Volatility
805.3 M
 
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At this time, Union Pacific's Pretax Profit Margin is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/11/2026, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.42, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 9 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.650.5938
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.310.2912
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.420.4014
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.390.374
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.110.1024
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.410.3865
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For Union Pacific profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Union Pacific to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Union Pacific utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Union Pacific's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Union Pacific over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Union Pacific Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Union Pacific is estimated to be 2.82 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.68 to a high of 2.9. Union Pacific's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 12.31. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Union Pacific is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Union Pacific is projected to generate 2.82 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Union Pacific earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Union Pacific EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Union Pacific's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Union Pacific, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Union Pacific Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Union Pacific's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Union Pacific is estimated to be 2.82 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.68 to a high of 2.9. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Union Pacific is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
2.86
2.68
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.82
2.90
Highest

Union Pacific Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Union Pacific's value are higher than the current market price of the Union Pacific stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Union Pacific is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Union Pacific's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2696.74%
2.86
2.82
12.31

Union Pacific Ownership Allocation

Union Pacific shows a total of 593.39 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Union Pacific outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Union Pacific to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Union Pacific. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Union Pacific as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on January 16, 2026, Representative Julie Johnson of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Union Pacific's common stock.

Union Pacific Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 24.51 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 7.14 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.81 B.

Union Pacific Past Distributions to stockholders

About Union Pacific Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Union Pacific's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Union Pacific based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Union Pacific. We calculate exposure to Union Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Union Pacific's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit14.6 BB
Pretax Profit Margin 0.37  0.39 
Operating Profit Margin 0.40  0.42 
Net Profit Margin 0.29  0.31 
Gross Profit Margin 0.59  0.65 

Union Pacific Quarterly Retained Earnings

69.53 Billion

Union Pacific's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Union Pacific's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Union Pacific can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Union Pacific represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Union, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Union Pacific Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Union Pacific's Dividends Paid is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/11/2026, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.03, while Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to drop 0.99. . At this time, Union Pacific's Retained Earnings are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/11/2026, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.07, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 36.5 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid3.2 B3.4 B
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.45  0.46 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.26  0.99 
There are various types of dividends Union Pacific can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Union shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Union Pacific directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Union pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Union Pacific by the value of the dividends paid out.

Union Pacific Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Union Pacific does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding593.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.068
Forward Price Earnings20.284

Union Pacific Current Valuation Indicators

Union Pacific's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Union Pacific's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Union Pacific, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Union Pacific's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Union Pacific's worth.

Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis

When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.