Union Pacific Stock Technical Analysis
| UNP Stock | USD 260.68 1.09 0.42% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Union Pacific has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1677, semi deviation of 1.06, and Coefficient Of Variation of 496.14. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Union Pacific, as well as the relationship between them.
Union Pacific Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Union, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to UnionUnion Pacific's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Union Pacific Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 264.42 | Buy | 29 | Odds |
Most Union analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Union stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Union Pacific, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Union conference calls.
Can Ground Transportation industry sustain growth momentum? Does Union have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Union Pacific. If investors know Union will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Union Pacific demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.068 | Dividend Share 5.44 | Earnings Share 11.94 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Understanding Union Pacific requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Union's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Union Pacific's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Union Pacific's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Union Pacific's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Union Pacific 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Union Pacific's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Union Pacific.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Union Pacific on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Union Pacific or generate 0.0% return on investment in Union Pacific over 90 days. Union Pacific is related to or competes with Honeywell International, Norfolk Southern, Deere, Canadian National, CSX, Lockheed Martin, and Canadian Pacific. Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in ... More
Union Pacific Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Union Pacific's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Union Pacific upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1416 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 |
Union Pacific Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Union Pacific's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Union Pacific's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Union Pacific historical prices to predict the future Union Pacific's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1677 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2083 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1441 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1365 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3486 |
Union Pacific February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1677 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3586 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.945 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 496.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1416 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2083 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1441 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1365 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3486 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.63 |
Union Pacific Backtested Returns
Union Pacific appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Union Pacific owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which indicates the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Union Pacific, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Union Pacific's Coefficient Of Variation of 496.14, semi deviation of 1.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1677 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Union Pacific holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 0.75, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Union Pacific's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Union Pacific is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Union Pacific's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Union Pacific's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.20 |
Weak predictability
Union Pacific has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Union Pacific time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Union Pacific price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Union Pacific price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 112.92 |
Union Pacific technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Union Pacific Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Union Pacific across different markets.
About Union Pacific Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Union Pacific on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Union Pacific based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Union Pacific price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Union Pacific. By analyzing Union Pacific's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Union Pacific's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Union Pacific specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0212 | 0.0232 | 0.0236 | 0.0268 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.2 | 5.71 | 5.59 | 5.87 |
Union Pacific February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Union help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Union from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Union charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1677 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3586 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.945 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 496.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1416 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2083 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1441 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1365 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3486 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.63 |
Union Pacific February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Union stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 73,777 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.22) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 260.60 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 260.63 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.47) |
Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis
When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.