Air Canada Stock Performance

AC Stock  CAD 18.85  0.02  0.11%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Air Canada's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Air Canada is expected to be smaller as well. Air Canada right now shows a risk of 1.6%. Please confirm Air Canada treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Air Canada will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Air Canada has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Air Canada is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
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Begin Period Cash Flow2.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.4 B
  

Air Canada Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,885  in Air Canada on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Air Canada or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Air Canada is currently producing 0.0126% returns and takes up 1.6008% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 14% of traded stocks are less volatile than Air, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Air Canada is expected to generate 4.43 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Air Canada Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Air Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.85 90 days 18.85 
about 57.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Air Canada to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.09 (This Air Canada probability density function shows the probability of Air Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Air Canada has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Air Canada average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Air Canada will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Air Canada has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Air Canada Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Air Canada

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Canada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Canada's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2518.8520.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2918.8920.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.9818.5820.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.260.300.36
Details

Air Canada Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Air Canada is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Air Canada's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Air Canada, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Air Canada within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Air Canada Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Air Canada for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Air Canada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air Canada is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Advice - Stock Traders Daily

Air Canada Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Air Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Air Canada's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Canada's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding376 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Air Canada Fundamentals Growth

Air Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Air Canada, and Air Canada fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Air Stock performance.

About Air Canada Performance

By examining Air Canada's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Air Canada's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Air Canada is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.77  8.45 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.83  0.87 

Things to note about Air Canada performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Air Canada for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Air Canada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air Canada is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Advice - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Air Canada's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Air Canada's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Air Canada's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Air Canada's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Air Canada's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Air Canada's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Air Canada's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Air Canada's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Air Canada's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Air Canada's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Air Canada's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Air Stock

Air Canada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air Canada security.