The Aes Stock Technical Analysis
| AES Stock | USD 16.28 0.08 0.49% |
As of the 15th of February 2026, AES shows the Semi Deviation of 1.44, mean deviation of 1.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1055. AES technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AES standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if AES is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 16.28 per share. Given that AES has jensen alpha of 0.1807, we suggest you to validate The AES's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
AES Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AES, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AESAES's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.AES Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 15.54 | Buy | 15 | Odds |
Most AES analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AES stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AES, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AES conference calls.
Is there potential for Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers market expansion? Will AES introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AES. If investors know AES will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about AES listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.253 | Dividend Share 0.704 | Earnings Share 1.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.019 |
Investors evaluate AES using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AES's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AES's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AES's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AES represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AES's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
AES 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AES's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AES.
| 11/17/2025 |
| 02/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AES on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The AES or generate 0.0% return on investment in AES over 90 days. AES is related to or competes with Brookfield Infrastructure, Companhia Paranaense, Energy Of, Essential Utilities, Brookfield Renewable, OGE Energy, and Pinnacle West. The AES Corporation operates as a diversified power generation and utility company More
AES Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AES's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The AES upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0879 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.11 |
AES Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AES's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AES's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AES historical prices to predict the future AES's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1055 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1807 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0868 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1066 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.266 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AES February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1055 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.276 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 810.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0879 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1807 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0868 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1066 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.266 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.29 |
AES Backtested Returns
AES appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. AES secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for The AES, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of AES's Mean Deviation of 1.45, risk adjusted performance of 0.1055, and Semi Deviation of 1.44 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AES holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.88, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. AES returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AES is expected to follow. Please check AES's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether AES's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
The AES has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AES time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AES price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current AES price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.18 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.8 |
AES technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
AES Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for AES across different markets.
About AES Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of The AES on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of The AES based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AES price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AES. By analyzing AES's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AES's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AES specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0345 | 0.0532 | 0.0479 | 0.0503 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.02 | 0.74 | 0.85 | 0.81 |
AES February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of AES help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AES from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1055 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.276 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 810.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0879 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1807 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0868 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1066 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.266 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.29 |
AES February 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AES stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.13 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 16.29 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 16.29 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.62 |
Additional Tools for AES Stock Analysis
When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.