Conifex Timber Stock Performance

CFF Stock  CAD 0.12  0.01  9.09%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.06, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Conifex Timber are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Conifex Timber is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, Conifex Timber has a negative expected return of -0.64%. Please make sure to confirm Conifex Timber's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Conifex Timber performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Conifex Timber has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
177:4868
Dividend Date
2022-08-08
Ex Dividend Date
2022-07-14
Last Split Date
2010-06-08
1
Conifex Provides an Operational Update - MarketScreener
11/28/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow4.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.1 M
  

Conifex Timber Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  23.00  in Conifex Timber on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (11.00) from holding Conifex Timber or give up 47.83% of portfolio value over 90 days. Conifex Timber is producing return of less than zero assuming 9.4823% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 85% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Conifex Timber, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Conifex Timber is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 12.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Conifex Timber Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Conifex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 0.12 
about 70.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Conifex Timber to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.23 (This Conifex Timber probability density function shows the probability of Conifex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Conifex Timber has a beta of -1.06 suggesting Additionally Conifex Timber has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Conifex Timber Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Conifex Timber

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Conifex Timber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.129.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.129.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.079.55
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.2-0.2-0.2
Details

Conifex Timber Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Conifex Timber is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Conifex Timber's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Conifex Timber, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Conifex Timber within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Conifex Timber Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Conifex Timber for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Conifex Timber can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Conifex Timber generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Conifex Timber has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Conifex Timber has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Conifex Timber has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Conifex Timber has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Conifex Timber has accumulated 77.32 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 95.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Conifex Timber has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Conifex Timber until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Conifex Timber's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Conifex Timber sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Conifex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Conifex Timber's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 127.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.13 M.
Conifex Timber has accumulated about 2.39 M in cash with (6.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.

Conifex Timber Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Conifex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Conifex Timber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Conifex Timber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 M

Conifex Timber Fundamentals Growth

Conifex Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Conifex Timber, and Conifex Timber fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Conifex Stock performance.

About Conifex Timber Performance

By examining Conifex Timber's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Conifex Timber's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Conifex Timber is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 48.82  69.94 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.15)(0.13)
Return On Capital Employed(0.15)(0.13)
Return On Assets(0.13)(0.12)
Return On Equity(0.31)(0.30)

Things to note about Conifex Timber performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Conifex Timber for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Conifex Timber help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Conifex Timber generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Conifex Timber has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Conifex Timber has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Conifex Timber has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Conifex Timber has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Conifex Timber has accumulated 77.32 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 95.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Conifex Timber has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Conifex Timber until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Conifex Timber's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Conifex Timber sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Conifex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Conifex Timber's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 127.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.13 M.
Conifex Timber has accumulated about 2.39 M in cash with (6.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Evaluating Conifex Timber's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Conifex Timber's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Conifex Timber's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Conifex Timber's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Conifex Timber's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Conifex Timber's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Conifex Timber's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Conifex Timber's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Conifex Timber's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Conifex Timber's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Conifex Timber's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Conifex Stock

Conifex Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conifex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conifex with respect to the benefits of owning Conifex Timber security.