Conifex Timber Valuation

CFF Stock  CAD 0.12  0.01  9.09%   
Conifex Timber seems to be fairly valued based on Macroaxis valuation methodology. Our model approximates the value of Conifex Timber from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.24) %, return on equity of -0.45, and Current Valuation of 85.37 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Conifex Timber's valuation include:
Price Book
0.0731
Enterprise Value
85.4 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(3.25)
Price Sales
0.032
Forward PE
12.2249
Fairly Valued
Today
0.12
Please note that Conifex Timber's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Calculation of the real value of Conifex Timber is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Conifex Timber's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Conifex Timber is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Conifex Stock. However, Conifex Timber's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.12 Real  0.12 Hype  0.12 Naive  0.066
The intrinsic value of Conifex Timber's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Conifex Timber's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.12
Real Value
9.52
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Conifex Timber helps investors to forecast how Conifex stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Conifex Timber more accurately as focusing exclusively on Conifex Timber's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.2-0.2-0.2
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.129.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
00.079.47
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Conifex Timber's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Conifex Timber's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Conifex Timber's closest peers.

Conifex Timber Cash

3.12 Million

Conifex Timber Total Value Analysis

Conifex Timber is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 85.37 M with market capitalization of 4.69 M, debt of 77.32 M, and cash on hands of 2.39 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Conifex Timber fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
85.37 M
4.69 M
77.32 M
2.39 M

Conifex Timber Investor Information

About 39.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Conifex Timber has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.88. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of July 2022. Conifex Timber had 177:4868 split on the 8th of June 2010. Based on the analysis of Conifex Timber's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Conifex Timber is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

Conifex Timber Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Conifex Timber has an asset utilization ratio of 62.65 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.63 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Conifex Timber is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Conifex Timber Profitability Analysis

Considering Conifex Timber's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Conifex Timber may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Conifex Timber's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2007-06-30
Previous Quarter
-8.3 M
Current Value
-16.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
20.8 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of the 4th of February 2026, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 3.3 M. In addition to that, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to -0.28
For Conifex Timber profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Conifex Timber to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Conifex Timber utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Conifex Timber's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Conifex Timber over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Conifex Timber Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Conifex Timber's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Conifex Timber's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Conifex Timber is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Conifex Timber is projected to generate -0.1975 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Conifex Timber earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Conifex Timber EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Conifex Timber's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Conifex Timber, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Conifex Timber Ownership Allocation

Conifex Timber holds a total of 40.77 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Conifex Timber outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Conifex Timber Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 127.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.13 M.

About Conifex Timber Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Conifex Timber. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Conifex Timber based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Conifex Timber's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Conifex Timber's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Conifex Timber. We calculate exposure to Conifex Timber's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Conifex Timber's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.5 M3.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.29)(0.28)
Operating Profit Margin(0.23)(0.22)
Net Loss(0.27)(0.25)
Gross Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 

Other Information on Investing in Conifex Stock

Conifex Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conifex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conifex with respect to the benefits of owning Conifex Timber security.