Conifex Timber Valuation

CFF Stock  CAD 0.41  0.03  6.82%   
Conifex Timber is overvalued. Conifex Timber shows a prevailing Real Value of C$0.36 per share. The current price of the firm is C$0.41. Our model approximates the value of Conifex Timber from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.21, profit margin of (0.18) %, and Current Valuation of 79.24 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Conifex Timber's valuation include:
Price Book
0.1589
Enterprise Value
79.2 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(3.25)
Price Sales
0.1349
Forward PE
12.2249
Overvalued
Today
0.41
Please note that Conifex Timber's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Calculation of the real value of Conifex Timber is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Conifex Timber's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Conifex Timber is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Conifex Stock. However, Conifex Timber's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.41 Real  0.36 Hype  0.42
The intrinsic value of Conifex Timber's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Conifex Timber's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.36
Real Value
5.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Conifex Timber helps investors to forecast how Conifex stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Conifex Timber more accurately as focusing exclusively on Conifex Timber's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.17-0.17-0.17
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.425.11
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Conifex Timber's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Conifex Timber's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Conifex Timber's closest peers.

Conifex Timber Cash

11.01 Million

Conifex Valuation Trend

Knowing Conifex Timber's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Conifex Timber's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Conifex Timber Total Value Analysis

Conifex Timber is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 79.24 M with market capitalization of 17.94 M, debt of 63.85 M, and cash on hands of 2.39 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Conifex Timber fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
79.24 M
17.94 M
63.85 M
2.39 M

Conifex Timber Investor Information

About 40.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.16. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Conifex Timber has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.69. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of July 2022. Conifex Timber had 177:4868 split on the 8th of June 2010. Based on the analysis of Conifex Timber's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Conifex Timber is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Conifex Timber Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Conifex Timber has an asset utilization ratio of 64.46 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.64 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Conifex Timber is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Conifex Timber Ownership Allocation

Conifex Timber holds a total of 40.77 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Conifex Timber outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Conifex Timber Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 141.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75.15 M.

About Conifex Timber Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Conifex Timber. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Conifex Timber based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Conifex Timber's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Conifex Timber's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Conifex Timber. We calculate exposure to Conifex Timber's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Conifex Timber's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit-3.8 M-3.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.30)(0.29)
Operating Profit Margin(0.27)(0.26)
Net Loss(0.22)(0.21)
Gross Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)

Other Information on Investing in Conifex Stock

Conifex Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conifex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conifex with respect to the benefits of owning Conifex Timber security.