Conifex Timber Stock Price Patterns
| CFF Stock | CAD 0.12 0.01 9.09% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Conifex Timber hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Conifex Timber from the perspective of Conifex Timber response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Conifex Timber to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Conifex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Conifex Timber after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Conifex |
Conifex Timber After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Conifex Timber at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Conifex Timber or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Conifex Timber, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Conifex Timber Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Conifex Timber's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Conifex Timber's historical news coverage. Conifex Timber's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 9.52, respectively. We have considered Conifex Timber's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Conifex Timber is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Conifex Timber is based on 3 months time horizon.
Conifex Timber Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Conifex Timber is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Conifex Timber backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Conifex Timber, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 9.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.12 | 0.12 | 0.00 |
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Conifex Timber Hype Timeline
Conifex Timber is currently traded for 0.12on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Conifex is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Conifex Timber is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.12. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Conifex Timber has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.88. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of July 2022. Conifex Timber had 177:4868 split on the 8th of June 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Conifex Timber Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Conifex Timber Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Conifex Timber's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Conifex Timber's future price movements. Getting to know how Conifex Timber's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Conifex Timber may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPVD | Mountain Province Diamonds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.89 | 0.12 | 20.00 | (14.29) | 100.00 | |
| PEX | Pacific Ridge Exploration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.74 | 0.06 | 13.04 | (8.33) | 25.71 | |
| PA | Palamina Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.00 | 0.11 | 8.33 | (7.14) | 43.05 | |
| NTH | Nord Precious Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.00 | (10.34) | 32.60 | |
| ILC | International Lithium Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.31 | 0.03 | 20.00 | (20.00) | 78.57 | |
| CPAU | Copaur Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.61 | 0.14 | 13.33 | (8.33) | 40.91 | |
| LOT | TomaGold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.78 | 0.16 | 22.22 | (16.67) | 53.33 | |
| ICM | Iconic Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.79 | 0.18 | 20.00 | (14.29) | 64.03 |
Conifex Timber Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Conifex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Conifex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Conifex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Conifex Timber Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Conifex Timber stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Conifex Timber, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Conifex Timber based on analysis of Conifex Timber hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Conifex Timber's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Conifex Timber's related companies.
Pair Trading with Conifex Timber
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Conifex Timber position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Conifex Timber will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Conifex Stock
| 0.66 | DHT-U | DRI Healthcare Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | MRT-UN | Morguard Real Estate Earnings Call Next Week | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | SGR-U | Slate Grocery REIT Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | IE | Ivanhoe Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | AG | First Majestic Silver | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Conifex Timber could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Conifex Timber when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Conifex Timber - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Conifex Timber to buy it.
The correlation of Conifex Timber is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Conifex Timber moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Conifex Timber moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Conifex Timber can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Conifex Stock
Conifex Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conifex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conifex with respect to the benefits of owning Conifex Timber security.