Conifex Timber Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CFF Stock | CAD 0.41 0.03 6.82% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Conifex Timber is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Conifex Timber's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Conifex Timber Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Conifex and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Conifex Timber. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Conifex |
Execute Conifex Timber Buy or Sell Advice
The Conifex recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Conifex Timber. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Conifex Timber or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Conifex Timber's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Conifex Timber Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Conifex Timber has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Conifex Timber had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Conifex Timber has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Conifex Timber has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Conifex Timber has accumulated 63.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 95.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Conifex Timber has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Conifex Timber until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Conifex Timber's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Conifex Timber sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Conifex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Conifex Timber's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 141.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75.15 M. | |
| Conifex Timber has accumulated about 2.39 M in cash with (1.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Conifex Timber Third Quarter 2024 Earnings CA0.09 loss per share - Yahoo Finance |
Conifex Timber Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Conifex Timber's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Conifex Timber's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Conifex Timber daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Conifex Timber price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Conifex Timber returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Conifex Timber.
| Mean Return | 0.21 | Value At Risk | -7.5 | Potential Upside | 6.00 | Standard Deviation | 4.63 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Conifex Timber historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Conifex Timber Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (17.3M) | 7.1M | (4.8M) | 2.1M | (5.5M) | (5.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 40.4M | (8.5M) | 20.3M | 11.3M | (7.8M) | (8.2M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 34.5M | 7.4M | 5.5M | 2.8M | (386.9K) | (367.6K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.5M | 2.2M | 6.4M | 13.5M | 6.6M | 6.3M | |
| Net Income | (30.4M) | (6.8M) | 27.2M | 24.5M | (30.6M) | (29.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 7.6M | 14.8M | 6.4M | 8.4M | 9.7M | 14.5M | |
| Change To Inventory | 19.6M | 2.3M | (27.4M) | (8.9M) | 26.2M | 27.5M | |
| Depreciation | 13.2M | 9.7M | 10.8M | 8.4M | 11.7M | 13.3M | |
| Investments | 47.2M | 221.5M | (5.8M) | (12.8M) | (5.2M) | (5.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (70.0M) | (196.3M) | (4.2M) | 3.2M | 2.9M | 3.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 194.4M | 5.8M | 15.2M | 13.0M | 15.0M | 27.8M |
Conifex Timber Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Conifex Timber or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Conifex Timber's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Conifex stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Conifex Timber Volatility Alert
Conifex Timber shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Conifex Timber is a potential penny stock. Although Conifex Timber may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Conifex Timber. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Conifex instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Conifex Timber Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Conifex Timber's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Conifex Timber's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Conifex Timber and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Conifex Timber or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Conifex Timber's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Conifex Timber by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Conifex Timber to competition |
| Fundamentals | Conifex Timber | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0812 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.18) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.24) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 79.24 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 40.77 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.64 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 39.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.16 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.31 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.13 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 141.16 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 75.15 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (27 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (30.63 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.39 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.05 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 63.85 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 95.00 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.89 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.28 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.19 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.86 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.69) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.41 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 0.85 | |
| Beta | 1.4 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 17.94 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 218.99 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (176.81 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 17.72 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 218.99 M |
Conifex Timber Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Conifex . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1149.6 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.75) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
About Conifex Timber Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Conifex Timber? Buying financial instruments such as Conifex Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Conifex Timber in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Cryptocurrency ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Cryptocurrency ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Cryptocurrency ETFs theme has 51 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cryptocurrency ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Other Information on Investing in Conifex Stock
Conifex Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conifex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conifex with respect to the benefits of owning Conifex Timber security.