China Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CHN Fund  USD 11.55  0.03  0.26%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, China Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Fund is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Fund are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile technical indicators, China Fund displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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1
City of London Investment Managements Strategic Acquisition in China Fund Inc - GuruFocus.com
11/15/2024
Expense Ratio1.0900
  

China Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  966.00  in China Fund on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  189.00  from holding China Fund or generate 19.57% return on investment over 90 days. China Fund is generating 0.3256% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.9201% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of funds are less volatile than China, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon China Fund is expected to generate 3.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

China Fund Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.55
Please note that China Fund's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. China Fund shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.71 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.55. We determine the value of China Fund from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor obtaining undervalued funds and abandoning overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since China Fund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of China Fund. However, China Fund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.55 Real  11.71 Hype  11.61 Naive  10.84
The intrinsic value of China Fund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence China Fund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.71
Real Value
14.62
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of China Fund helps investors to forecast how China fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of China Fund more accurately as focusing exclusively on China Fund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4612.1412.81
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.7011.6114.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.9410.8413.75
Details

China Fund Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Fund's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of funds, such as China Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a China Fund's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1115

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small ReturnsCHN
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative Returns

Estimated Market Risk

 2.92
  actual daily
26
74% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.33
  actual daily
6
94% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.11
  actual daily
8
92% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average China Fund is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of China Fund by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

China Fund Fundamentals Growth

China Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of China Fund, and China Fund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on China Fund performance.

About China Fund Performance

By examining China Fund's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into China Fund's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that China Fund is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The China Fund, Inc. is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Allianz Global Investors U.S. LLC. It invests in the public equity markets of China that includes the Peoples Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The fund invests in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. It employs a combination of fundamental analysis with bottom-up approach and quantitative analysis to create its portfolio. The fund seeks to benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the MSCI Golden Dragon Index. The China Fund, Inc. was formed on April 28, 1992 and is domiciled in the United States.

Things to note about China Fund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for China Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating China Fund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate China Fund's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing China Fund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether China Fund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining China Fund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating China Fund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of China Fund's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of China Fund's fund. These opinions can provide insight into China Fund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating China Fund's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact China Fund's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in China Fund

China Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Fund security.
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