Ciena (Germany) Performance

CIE1 Stock  EUR 267.10  14.90  5.91%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ciena holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.12, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ciena will likely underperform. Please check Ciena's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Ciena's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ciena are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Ciena reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:7
Last Split Date
2006-09-25
1
Handelsbanken Fonder AB Sells 1,800 Shares of Ciena Corporation CIEN - MarketBeat
11/26/2025
2
Why Ciena Stock Jumped 70 - Trefis
12/19/2025
3
Ciena Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go - Trefis
01/08/2026
4
Insider Selling Ciena SVP Sells 11,929 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat
01/13/2026
5
Ciena Stock Gains 43 percent in 3 Months Should Investors Buy or Hold Now - Zacks Investment Research
01/16/2026
6
Ciena gets a rating cut, while BofA highlights outlook for networking tech stocks - MSN
01/22/2026
7
A Look At Ciena Valuation After BofA Downgrade And AI Networking Concerns - simplywall.st
01/26/2026
8
Ciena vs. Nokia Which Optical Networking Stock is the Better Buy - Zacks Investment Research
01/30/2026
9
Ciena AI Rebirth Fairly Valued - Seeking Alpha
02/11/2026
10
Lumen taps Ciena AI agents to streamline network operations and cut costs - Stock Titan
02/19/2026
  

Ciena Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  16,595  in Ciena on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10,115  from holding Ciena or generate 60.95% return on investment over 90 days. Ciena is generating 0.9295% of daily returns assuming 5.234% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 47% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Ciena, and 82% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ciena is expected to generate 7.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Ciena Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ciena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 267.10 90 days 267.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ciena to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ciena probability density function shows the probability of Ciena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.12 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ciena will likely underperform. Additionally Ciena has an alpha of 0.5811, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ciena Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ciena

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ciena. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
264.85270.08275.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
233.64238.87293.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
259.90265.13270.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.720.730.75
Details

Ciena Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ciena is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ciena's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ciena, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ciena within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.12
σ
Overall volatility
28.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Ciena Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ciena for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ciena can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ciena is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ciena appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lumen taps Ciena AI agents to streamline network operations and cut costs - Stock Titan

Ciena Fundamentals Growth

Ciena Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ciena, and Ciena fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ciena Stock performance.

About Ciena Performance

By analyzing Ciena's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ciena's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ciena has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ciena has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ciena Corporation provides network hardware, software, and services that support the transport, switching, aggregation, service delivery, and management of video, data, and voice traffic on communications networks worldwide. Ciena Corporation was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Hanover, Maryland. CIENA CORP operates under Communication Equipment classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 6176 people.

Things to note about Ciena performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ciena for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ciena help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ciena is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ciena appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lumen taps Ciena AI agents to streamline network operations and cut costs - Stock Titan
Evaluating Ciena's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ciena's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ciena's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ciena's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ciena's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ciena's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ciena's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ciena's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ciena's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ciena's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ciena's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Ciena's price analysis, check to measure Ciena's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ciena is operating at the current time. Most of Ciena's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ciena's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ciena's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ciena to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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