Ciena (Germany) Price Patterns
| CIE1 Stock | EUR 259.90 8.70 3.46% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Wall Street Target Price 66.19 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 |
Using Ciena hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ciena from the perspective of Ciena response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ciena to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ciena because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ciena after-hype prediction price | EUR 252.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ciena |
Ciena After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ciena at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ciena or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ciena, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ciena Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ciena's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ciena's historical news coverage. Ciena's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 247.41 and 285.89, respectively. We have considered Ciena's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ciena is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ciena is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ciena Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ciena is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ciena backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ciena, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.06 | 5.37 | 7.42 | 2.55 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
259.90 | 252.76 | 2.75 |
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Ciena Hype Timeline
Ciena is currently traded for 259.90on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -7.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.55. Ciena is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 252.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 76.71%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -2.75%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.06%. The volatility of related hype on Ciena is about 222.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 262.45. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.45. Ciena had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:7 split on the 25th of September 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Ciena Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ciena Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ciena's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ciena's future price movements. Getting to know how Ciena's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ciena may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AP2 | APPLIED MATERIALS | (8.60) | 10 per month | 2.63 | 0.20 | 6.46 | (4.98) | 18.54 | |
| TP3 | THRACE PLASTICS | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.15 | 0.07 | 1.76 | (0.76) | 3.37 | |
| MUJ | Mitsubishi Materials | 0.10 | 5 per month | 2.33 | 0.23 | 5.51 | (4.17) | 23.20 | |
| MMX | Martin Marietta Materials | 25.60 | 9 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 2.58 | (2.97) | 11.60 | |
| GTR | GOODYEAR T RUBBER | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.60 | 0.08 | 3.65 | (3.33) | 17.24 | |
| BJI | DATANG INTL POW | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.17 | (4.00) | 16.39 | |
| CC3 | Cass Information Systems | (0.20) | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.05 | 2.79 | (2.22) | 7.29 |
Ciena Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ciena price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ciena using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ciena charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ciena Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ciena stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ciena, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ciena based on analysis of Ciena hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ciena's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ciena's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for Ciena Stock analysis
When running Ciena's price analysis, check to measure Ciena's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ciena is operating at the current time. Most of Ciena's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ciena's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ciena's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ciena to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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