Ciena Valuation

CIE1 Stock  EUR 259.90  32.00  14.04%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Ciena shows a prevailing Real Value of €191.75 per share. The current price of the firm is €259.9. Our model approximates the value of Ciena from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.03 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0445 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
14.0181
Enterprise Value
36.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
111.5146
Price Sales
8.0557
Forward PE
62.5
Overvalued
Today
259.90
Please note that Ciena's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ciena is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ciena's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Ciena stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Ciena. Since Ciena is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ciena Stock. However, Ciena's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  259.9 Real  191.75 Hype  253.11
The real value of Ciena Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ciena Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ciena's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ciena's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
186.37
Downside
191.75
Real Value
285.89
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ciena helps investors to forecast how Ciena stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ciena more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ciena's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.720.730.75
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
247.73253.11285.89
Details

Ciena Cash

1.01 Billion

Ciena Total Value Analysis

Ciena is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 36.5 B with market capitalization of 38.42 B, debt of 11.58 M, and cash on hands of 818.48 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Ciena fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
36.5 B
38.42 B
11.58 M
818.48 M

Ciena Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. Ciena had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:7 split on the 25th of September 2006. Based on the key measurements obtained from Ciena's financial statements, Ciena is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Income311.5 M357.4 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Ciena Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ciena has an asset utilization ratio of 81.33 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.81 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ciena is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Ciena Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Ciena's financial statements, Ciena may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Ciena's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2017-01-31
Previous Quarter
50.3 M
Current Value
19.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
211 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current Gross Profit is estimated to decrease to about 1.6 B
For Ciena profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Ciena to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Ciena utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Ciena's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Ciena over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Ciena Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Ciena's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Ciena's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ciena is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Ciena is projected to generate 0.73 in earnings per share on the 31st of October 2021. Ciena earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Ciena EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Ciena's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ciena, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Ciena Ownership Allocation

Ciena retains a total of 141.46 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Ciena outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Ciena to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Ciena. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Ciena as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.

Ciena Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 4.77 B. Net Income was 123.34 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ciena's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ciena and how it compares across the competition.

About Ciena Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ciena's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ciena. We calculate exposure to Ciena's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ciena's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.3 B1.6 B

Complementary Tools for Ciena Stock analysis

When running Ciena's price analysis, check to measure Ciena's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ciena is operating at the current time. Most of Ciena's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ciena's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ciena's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ciena to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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