Fastenal Company Stock Performance
| FAST Stock | USD 43.73 0.16 0.36% |
Fastenal has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Fastenal returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fastenal is expected to follow. Fastenal right now shows a risk of 1.37%. Please confirm Fastenal value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Fastenal will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fastenal Company are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Fastenal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.99) | Five Day Return 2.79 | Year To Date Return 8.53 | Ten Year Return 361.51 | All Time Return 138.9 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0205 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.9 | Dividend Date 2026-02-26 |
| Fastenal dividend paid on 25th of November 2025 | 11/25/2025 |
1 | Sepio Capital LP Has 2.49 Million Position in Fastenal Company FAST | 12/01/2025 |
2 | ICW Investment Advisors LLC Purchases 35,390 Shares of Fastenal Company FAST | 12/12/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Quarshie Irene Ayeley of 15258 shares of Fastenal at 41.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
4 | How Investors Are Reacting To Fastenal Ahead Of Q4 2025 Earnings And Margin Outlook | 01/16/2026 |
5 | Fastenal shares slide after Q4 results show margin pressure | 01/20/2026 |
6 | Fastenal Margin Stability At 15.3 percent Reinforces Premium Valuation Narratives | 01/21/2026 |
7 | GigaCloud Technology Touts Big-and-Bulky B2B Model at Needham, Highlights 10 percent Sales Growth | 01/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 255.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -231 M |
Fastenal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,163 in Fastenal Company on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 210.00 from holding Fastenal Company or generate 5.04% return on investment over 90 days. Fastenal Company is currently generating 0.0886% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.3737% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Fastenal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Fastenal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Fastenal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 43.73 | 90 days | 43.73 | roughly 2.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fastenal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.94 (This Fastenal Company probability density function shows the probability of Fastenal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This usually indicates Fastenal Company market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fastenal is expected to follow. Additionally Fastenal Company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fastenal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fastenal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fastenal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fastenal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fastenal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fastenal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fastenal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fastenal Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fastenal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Fastenal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fastenal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fastenal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fastenal has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: GigaCloud Technology Touts Big-and-Bulky B2B Model at Needham, Highlights 10 percent Sales Growth |
Fastenal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fastenal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fastenal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fastenal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 276.8 M |
Fastenal Fundamentals Growth
Fastenal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fastenal, and Fastenal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fastenal Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.21 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 50.55 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.15 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 28.13 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 12.78 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 6.14 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.2 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.69 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.66 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.26 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 231.5 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.40 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 441.9 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.26 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.98 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.44 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.3 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.09 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 50.39 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.05 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.87 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 2.52 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.66 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 373.17 M | ||||
About Fastenal Performance
Assessing Fastenal's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Fastenal's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Fastenal is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 130.40 | 131.24 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.22 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.43 | 0.40 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.22 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | 0.20 |
Things to note about Fastenal performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fastenal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fastenal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fastenal has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: GigaCloud Technology Touts Big-and-Bulky B2B Model at Needham, Highlights 10 percent Sales Growth |
- Analyzing Fastenal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fastenal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Fastenal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Fastenal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fastenal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fastenal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fastenal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Fastenal Stock Analysis
When running Fastenal's price analysis, check to measure Fastenal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastenal is operating at the current time. Most of Fastenal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastenal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastenal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastenal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.