Fastenal Company Stock Technical Analysis
| FAST Stock | USD 46.41 0.87 1.91% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Fastenal shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 861.17, downside deviation of 1.41, and Mean Deviation of 1.24. Fastenal technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
Fastenal Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Fastenal, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FastenalFastenal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Fastenal Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 44.68 | Buy | 17 | Odds |
Most Fastenal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Fastenal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Fastenal, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Fastenal conference calls.
Is there potential for Trading Companies & Distributors market expansion? Will Fastenal introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fastenal. Market participants price Fastenal higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Fastenal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.093 | Dividend Share 0.875 | Earnings Share 1.09 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
Investors evaluate Fastenal using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fastenal's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fastenal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fastenal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fastenal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fastenal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Fastenal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fastenal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fastenal.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fastenal on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fastenal Company or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fastenal over 90 days. Fastenal is related to or competes with Ferguson Plc, WW Grainger, Ametek, Roper Technologies, Carrier Global, Ferrovial, and Rockwell Automation. Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction s... More
Fastenal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fastenal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fastenal Company upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0656 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.32 |
Fastenal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fastenal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fastenal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fastenal historical prices to predict the future Fastenal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0992 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0969 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0363 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0741 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.158 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fastenal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fastenal February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0992 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.168 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 861.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0656 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0969 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0363 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0741 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.158 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5073 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4437 |
Fastenal Backtested Returns
Fastenal appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fastenal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which denotes the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fastenal Company, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Fastenal's Mean Deviation of 1.24, coefficient of variation of 861.17, and Downside Deviation of 1.41 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Fastenal holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Fastenal returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fastenal is expected to follow. Please check Fastenal's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Fastenal's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
Fastenal Company has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fastenal time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fastenal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Fastenal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.82 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.57 |
Fastenal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Fastenal Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Fastenal across different markets.
About Fastenal Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Fastenal Company on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fastenal Company based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Fastenal price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Fastenal. By analyzing Fastenal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Fastenal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Fastenal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0217 | 0.0218 | 0.0229 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.46 | 5.62 | 3.17 |
Fastenal February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Fastenal help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fastenal from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Fastenal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0992 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.168 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 861.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0656 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0969 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0363 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0741 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.158 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5073 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4437 |
Fastenal February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fastenal stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 294,663 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.58 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 45.78 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 45.99 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.06 |
Additional Tools for Fastenal Stock Analysis
When running Fastenal's price analysis, check to measure Fastenal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastenal is operating at the current time. Most of Fastenal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastenal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastenal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastenal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.