Fair Isaac Stock Performance
| FICO Stock | USD 1,387 58.81 4.43% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.3, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fair Isaac will likely underperform. At this point, Fair Isaac has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to confirm Fair Isaac's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Fair Isaac performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Fair Isaac has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 4.43 | Five Day Return (8.31) | Year To Date Return (15.60) | Ten Year Return 1.3 K | All Time Return 101.1 K |
Last Split Factor 3:2 | Dividend Date 2017-03-17 | Ex Dividend Date 2017-03-01 | Last Split Date 2004-03-11 |
1 | Disposition of 340 shares by Braden Kelly of Fair Isaac subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/08/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 1128 shares by Richard Deal of Fair Isaac subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/11/2025 |
3 | Why Fair Isaac Corporation Stock Is Trading Up Today | 01/09/2026 |
4 | Fair Isaac Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth | 01/21/2026 |
5 | AI Is Coming For Your Credit Score Is It Good For Consumers | 01/28/2026 |
6 | Fair Isaac Corp Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Record ... | 01/29/2026 |
7 | Fair Isaac Corporation Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Broadridge Reports Q4 Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings | 02/02/2026 |
9 | FICO Score 10T Sees Surge of Adoption by Mortgage Lenders | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 150.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -43.7 M |
Fair Isaac Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 167,480 in Fair Isaac on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (28,792) from holding Fair Isaac or give up 17.19% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fair Isaac is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.2761% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Fair, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Fair Isaac Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Fair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,387 | 90 days | 1,387 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fair Isaac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Fair Isaac probability density function shows the probability of Fair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Fair Isaac Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fair Isaac
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fair Isaac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fair Isaac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fair Isaac Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fair Isaac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fair Isaac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fair Isaac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fair Isaac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 115.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Fair Isaac Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fair Isaac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fair Isaac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fair Isaac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fair Isaac has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: FICO Score 10T Sees Surge of Adoption by Mortgage Lenders |
Fair Isaac Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fair Isaac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fair Isaac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134.1 M |
Fair Isaac Fundamentals Growth
Fair Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fair Isaac, and Fair Isaac fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fair Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.36 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.35 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.32 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.46 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 37.47 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 23.72 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 65.60 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 82.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 15.95 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.99 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.71 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 951.19 M | ||||
| Net Income | 651.95 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 155.06 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 6.14 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.07 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 8.92 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.23 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (76.09) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 778.81 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 28.15 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 32.9 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.87 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 4.55 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (144.05 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 433.46 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 95.5 M | ||||
About Fair Isaac Performance
By examining Fair Isaac's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fair Isaac's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fair Isaac is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 14.95 | 14.20 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.54 | 0.57 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.82 | 0.86 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.31 | 0.33 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.43) | (0.41) |
Things to note about Fair Isaac performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fair Isaac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fair Isaac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fair Isaac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fair Isaac has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: FICO Score 10T Sees Surge of Adoption by Mortgage Lenders |
- Analyzing Fair Isaac's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fair Isaac's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Fair Isaac's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Fair Isaac's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fair Isaac's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fair Isaac's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fair Isaac's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fair Isaac. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private. To learn how to invest in Fair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fair Isaac guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Fair diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fair Isaac. Market participants price Fair higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fair Isaac data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.077 | Earnings Share 28.15 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.164 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Fair Isaac requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Fair's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Fair Isaac's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Fair Isaac's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fair Isaac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fair Isaac is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Fair Isaac's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.