First Niles Financial Stock Performance

FNFI Stock  USD 7.45  0.30  3.87%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Niles' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Niles is expected to be smaller as well. First Niles Financial right now shows a risk of 2.64%. Please confirm First Niles Financial jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if First Niles Financial will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Niles Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, First Niles is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more
  

First Niles Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  760.00  in First Niles Financial on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (15.00) from holding First Niles Financial or give up 1.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Niles Financial is currently generating 0.0019% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.6424% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of pink sheets are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Niles is expected to generate 49.58 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

First Niles Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.45 90 days 7.45 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Niles to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This First Niles Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Niles has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Niles average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Niles Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Niles Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Niles Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Niles

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Niles Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.817.4510.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.617.259.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Niles. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Niles' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Niles' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Niles Financial.

First Niles Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Niles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Niles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Niles Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Niles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

First Niles Fundamentals Growth

First Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Niles, and First Niles fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Pink Sheet performance.

About First Niles Performance

By evaluating First Niles' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Niles' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Niles has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Niles has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Niles Financial, Inc. operates as the holding company for the Home Federal Savings and Loan Association of Niles that provides various banking products and services. First Niles Financial, Inc. was founded in 1897 and is based in Niles, Ohio. First Niles operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about First Niles Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Niles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for First Niles Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating First Niles' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Niles' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing First Niles' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Niles' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Niles' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Niles' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Niles' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Niles' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into First Niles' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Niles' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Niles' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis

When running First Niles' price analysis, check to measure First Niles' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Niles is operating at the current time. Most of First Niles' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Niles' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Niles' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Niles to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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