Graham Stock Performance

GHM Stock  USD 87.45  2.39  2.81%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Graham holds a performance score of 14. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.38, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Graham will likely underperform. Please check Graham's value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Graham's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Graham are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent technical indicators, Graham displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.19
Five Day Return
10.68
Year To Date Return
28.14
Ten Year Return
417.08
All Time Return
6.2 K
Last Split Factor
2:1
Dividend Date
2021-11-23
Ex Dividend Date
2021-11-08
Last Split Date
2008-10-07
1
Trump greenlights Russian sanctions bill, paving way for 500 percent tariff on countries supporting Moscow Graham
01/08/2026
2
Graham suggests Trump help Iran protesters with military, cyber and psychological attacks against regime
01/13/2026
3
Graham Corporation Acquires FlackTek, Strengthening Mission-Critical Engineered Products Platform
01/26/2026
4
3 Top Lesser-Known Space Stocks to Buy Now That Are Poised to Benefit From NASAs Artemis Moon Missions
01/28/2026
5
Graham Corporation Proves Resilience As Markets Track Nyse Composite This Week
01/29/2026
6
Earnings Preview Graham Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline - Nasdaq
01/30/2026
7
Acquisition by Daniel Thoren of 1588 shares of Graham subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
8
Northland Sees Graham Corporation Near Full Value as Order Growth Slows
02/04/2026
9
Graham Q3 2026 Earnings Preview
02/05/2026
10
Graham Corporation Reports Bullish Q4 CY2025
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow16.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-19.1 M

Graham Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,090  in Graham on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,416  from holding Graham or generate 39.67% return on investment over 90 days. Graham is generating 0.6165% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.4569% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Graham, and above 88% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Graham is expected to generate 4.27 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.27 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Graham Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Graham Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 87.45 90 days 87.45 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graham to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Graham probability density function shows the probability of Graham Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.38 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Graham will likely underperform. Additionally Graham has an alpha of 0.3169, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Graham Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Graham

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graham. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.2985.7589.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.5592.1195.57
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
75.5383.0092.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.420.420.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graham. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graham's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graham's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Graham.

Graham Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graham is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graham's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graham, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graham within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.38
σ
Overall volatility
7.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Graham Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graham for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graham can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Graham appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Graham is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Graham Corporation Reports Bullish Q4 CY2025

Graham Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graham Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graham's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graham's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.6 M

Graham Fundamentals Growth

Graham Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Graham, and Graham fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Graham Stock performance.

About Graham Performance

By examining Graham's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Graham's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Graham is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 65.51  53.90 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.22  0.23 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.26  0.27 

Things to note about Graham performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Graham for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Graham help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Graham appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Graham is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Graham Corporation Reports Bullish Q4 CY2025
Evaluating Graham's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Graham's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Graham's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Graham's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Graham's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Graham's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Graham's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Graham's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Graham's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Graham's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Graham's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Graham is a strong investment it is important to analyze Graham's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Graham's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Graham Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Graham. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
To learn how to invest in Graham Stock, please use our How to Invest in Graham guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could Graham diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graham. Market participants price Graham higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Graham data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.786
Earnings Share
1.35
Revenue Per Share
21.696
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.205
Return On Assets
0.0379
The market value of Graham is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graham's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graham's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Graham's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graham's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Graham's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.