Graham Stock Analysis

GHM Stock  USD 44.65  1.30  3.00%   
Graham is overvalued with Real Value of 35.23 and Target Price of 22.75. The main objective of Graham stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Graham is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Graham's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Graham stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Graham is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Graham Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Graham. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
To learn how to invest in Graham Stock, please use our How to Invest in Graham guide.

Graham Stock Analysis Notes

About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Graham was currently reported as 10.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. Graham last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2021. The entity had 2:1 split on the 7th of October 2008. Graham Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum equipment for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, energy, and other industries. Graham Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Batavia, New York. Graham Corp operates under Specialty Industrial Machinery classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 491 people. To learn more about Graham call James Lines at 585 343 2216 or check out https://grahamcorp.com.

Graham Quarterly Total Revenue

53.56 Million

Graham Investment Alerts

Graham appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Graham has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from aol.com: Graham knocks ICC over Netanyahu, Gallant A dangerous joke

Graham Upcoming and Recent Events

5th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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13th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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13th of June 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of March 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Graham Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Graham's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-02-04
2010-12-310.070.080.0114 
2010-01-29
2009-12-310.070.080.0114 
2016-01-29
2015-12-310.110.130.0218 
View All Earnings Estimates

Graham Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Graham's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Graham's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Graham's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Graham's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Graham Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Graham stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Machinery Idea
Machinery
USA Equities from Machinery industry as classified by Fama & French

Graham Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Essex Investment Management Company, Llc2024-09-30
190.3 K
Cobblestone Capital Advisors Llc2024-09-30
187.8 K
G2 Investment Partners Management Llc2024-09-30
182.2 K
Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
172.3 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
139.5 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
129.3 K
Kennedy Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
122.5 K
Franklin Resources Inc2024-09-30
122.3 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2024-09-30
102.3 K
Brandes Investment Partners & Co2024-09-30
1.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
658.1 K
Note, although Graham's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Graham Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 486.23 M.

Graham Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.04 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.07 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.07 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.26 

Management Efficiency

Graham has Return on Asset of 0.0251 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0251 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0727 %, implying that it generated $0.0727 on every 100 dollars invested. Graham's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Graham manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 25th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.10. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.22. At this time, Graham's Debt To Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 5.35, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop about 63.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.83  1.50 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.42  1.50 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 28.37  2.97 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.11  1.25 
Enterprise Value Multiple 28.37  2.97 
Price Fair Value 3.11  1.25 
Enterprise Value42.7 M49.5 M
Examining the leadership quality of Graham offers valuable insights into its operational efficiency and financial health. This analysis assists investors in making informed decisions regarding the stock.
Operating Margin
0.0679
Profit Margin
0.0395
Beta
0.551
Return On Assets
0.0251
Return On Equity
0.0727

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of November, Graham retains the risk adjusted performance of 0.1604, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2424. Graham technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Graham information ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and value at risk to decide if Graham is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 44.65 per share. Given that Graham has jensen alpha of 0.3086, we strongly advise you to confirm Graham's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Graham Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Graham middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Graham. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Graham Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Graham insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Graham's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Graham insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Graham Outstanding Bonds

Graham issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Graham uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Graham bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Graham has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Graham Predictive Daily Indicators

Graham intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Graham stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Graham Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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8K
8th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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13A
30th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
22nd of October 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F4
4th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8K
7th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8th of July 2024
Other Reports
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Graham Forecast Models

Graham's time-series forecasting models are one of many Graham's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Graham's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Graham Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Graham prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Graham shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Graham. By using and applying Graham Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Graham entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.08 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.32 

Current Graham Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Graham analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Graham analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
22.75Strong Buy3Odds
Graham current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Graham analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Graham stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Graham, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Graham conference calls.
Graham Analyst Advice Details

Graham Stock Analysis Indicators

Graham stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Graham stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Graham shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Graham stock analysis, traders can identify Graham position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow18.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity105.6 M
Tax ProvisionM
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y6.81
Property Plant And Equipment Net39.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.9 M
Cash16.9 M
Accounts Payable20.8 M
Net Debt-9.2 M
50 Day M A32.5564
Total Current Liabilities118.2 M
Other Operating Expenses178.6 M
Non Current Assets Total107.6 M
Forward Price Earnings109.8901
Non Currrent Assets Other7.1 M
Stock Based Compensation1.3 M
When determining whether Graham is a strong investment it is important to analyze Graham's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Graham's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Graham Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Graham. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
To learn how to invest in Graham Stock, please use our How to Invest in Graham guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graham. If investors know Graham will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graham listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
6.81
Earnings Share
0.7
Revenue Per Share
18.113
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.188
Return On Assets
0.0251
The market value of Graham is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graham's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graham's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graham's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graham's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graham's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.