Graham Valuation

GHM Stock  USD 67.79  2.21  3.16%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Graham retains a regular Real Value of $67.17 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $67.79. Our model calculates the value of Graham from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.11, and Return On Asset of 0.0372 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
67.79
Please note that Graham's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Graham is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Graham's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Graham stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Graham. Since Graham is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Graham Stock. However, Graham's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  67.79 Real  67.17 Hype  68.44 Naive  64.33
The intrinsic value of Graham's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Graham's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
67.17
Real Value
70.31
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Graham helps investors to forecast how Graham stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Graham more accurately as focusing exclusively on Graham's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.4967.7370.96
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.3068.4471.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
61.1964.3367.48
Details

Graham Total Value Analysis

Graham is currently forecasted to have company total value of 715.13 M with market capitalization of 769.16 M, debt of 6.85 M, and cash on hands of 21.58 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Graham fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
715.13 M
769.16 M
6.85 M
21.58 M

Graham Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. Graham last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2021. The entity had 2:1 split on the 7th of October 2008. Graham is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in February.

Graham Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Graham has an asset utilization ratio of 79.47 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.79 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Graham is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Graham Ownership Allocation

The majority of Graham outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Graham to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Graham. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Graham as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Graham Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 209.9 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 12.23 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 56.72 M.

About Graham Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graham. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Graham based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Graham's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Graham's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Graham. We calculate exposure to Graham's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Graham's related companies.
Graham Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum equipment for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, energy, and other industries. Graham Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Batavia, New York. Graham Corp operates under Specialty Industrial Machinery classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 491 people.

Graham Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Graham does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.067
Forward Price Earnings109.8901
When determining whether Graham is a strong investment it is important to analyze Graham's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Graham's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Graham Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Graham. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
To learn how to invest in Graham Stock, please use our How to Invest in Graham guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graham. If investors know Graham will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graham listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Graham is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graham's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graham's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graham's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graham's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graham's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.