Middlefield Banc Stock Performance
| MBCN Stock | USD 33.67 1.25 3.58% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.23, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Middlefield Banc will likely underperform. At this point, Middlefield Banc has a negative expected return of -0.0277%. Please make sure to verify Middlefield Banc's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Middlefield Banc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Middlefield Banc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Middlefield Banc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.58) | Five Day Return (2.77) | Year To Date Return (0.80) | Ten Year Return 103.44 | All Time Return 449.27 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0241 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.84 | Dividend Date 2026-02-27 |
1 | Disposition of 1112 shares by Ronald Zimmerly of Middlefield Banc at 34.82 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/01/2025 |
| Middlefield Banc dividend paid on 12th of December 2025 | 12/12/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Michael Ranttila of 4520 shares of Middlefield Banc subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/24/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 670 shares by Michael Cheravitch of Middlefield Banc at 34.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
4 | Middlefield Banc Investor Alert Kahn Swick Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Middlefield Banc Corp. - MBCN | 01/07/2026 |
5 | Highs Report Why Middlefield Banc Corp stock could rally in 2025 - Market Weekly Review Precise Buy Zone Tips - moha.gov.vn | 01/13/2026 |
6 | Independent Proxy Advisory Firm ISS Recommends Shareholders Vote FOR Farmers National Banc Corp. Proposed Merger with Middlefield Banc Corp. | 01/29/2026 |
7 | MBCN SEC Filings - Middlefield Banc Corp 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K Forms - Stock Titan | 02/02/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Ronald Zimmerly of 2288 shares of Middlefield Banc at 34.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/03/2026 |
9 | Orange County Bancorp, Inc. Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | 02/04/2026 |
10 | Middlefield Banc Corp. Announces 2026 First-Quarter Cash Dividend Payment | 02/09/2026 |
11 | Middlefield Banc GAAP EPS of 0.38, revenue of 19.34M | 02/10/2026 |
12 | Redmont Wealth Advisors LLC Makes New Investment in Middlefield Banc Corp. MBCN | 02/19/2026 |
| Middlefield Banc dividend paid on 27th of February 2026 | 02/27/2026 |
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Middlefield Banc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,461 in Middlefield Banc on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (94.00) from holding Middlefield Banc or give up 2.72% of portfolio value over 90 days. Middlefield Banc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.8744% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Middlefield, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Middlefield Banc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Middlefield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 33.67 | 90 days | 33.67 | about 85.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Middlefield Banc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.77 (This Middlefield Banc probability density function shows the probability of Middlefield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Middlefield Banc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Middlefield Banc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Middlefield Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlefield Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Middlefield Banc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Middlefield Banc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Middlefield Banc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Middlefield Banc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Middlefield Banc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Middlefield Banc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Middlefield Banc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Middlefield Banc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Middlefield Banc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 27th of February 2026 Middlefield Banc paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Redmont Wealth Advisors LLC Makes New Investment in Middlefield Banc Corp. MBCN |
Middlefield Banc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Middlefield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Middlefield Banc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Middlefield Banc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 180 M |
Middlefield Banc Fundamentals Growth
Middlefield Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Middlefield Banc, and Middlefield Banc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Middlefield Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0882 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0103 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 422.72 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 8.13 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 9.90 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.23 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.53 X | ||||
| Revenue | 112.31 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 77.57 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 23.48 M | ||||
| Net Income | 19.42 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 128.58 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 22.29 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 186.45 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 10.80 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 28.26 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 17.47 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.39 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 273.63 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.9 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 121.93 M | ||||
About Middlefield Banc Performance
By examining Middlefield Banc's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Middlefield Banc's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Middlefield Banc is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (177.10) | (185.96) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.08 | 0.11 |
Things to note about Middlefield Banc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Middlefield Banc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Middlefield Banc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Middlefield Banc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 27th of February 2026 Middlefield Banc paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Redmont Wealth Advisors LLC Makes New Investment in Middlefield Banc Corp. MBCN |
- Analyzing Middlefield Banc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Middlefield Banc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Middlefield Banc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Middlefield Banc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Middlefield Banc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Middlefield Banc's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Middlefield Banc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Middlefield Banc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Middlefield diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. Expected growth trajectory for Middlefield significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Middlefield Banc data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 2.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.123 |
Understanding Middlefield Banc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Middlefield's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Middlefield Banc's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Middlefield Banc's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Middlefield Banc's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Middlefield Banc represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Middlefield Banc's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.