Middlefield Banc Stock Performance

MBCN Stock  USD 34.15  0.28  0.83%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0601, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Middlefield Banc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Middlefield Banc is expected to be smaller as well. Middlefield Banc right now secures a risk of 1.97%. Please verify Middlefield Banc downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Middlefield Banc will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Middlefield Banc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Middlefield Banc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.38
Five Day Return
2.78
Year To Date Return
0.18
Ten Year Return
103.11
All Time Return
454.65
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0248
Payout Ratio
0.4179
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.84
Dividend Date
2025-12-12
1
Why Middlefield Banc Corp. stock could benefit from AI revolution - 2025 Price Targets Weekly Stock Breakout Alerts - newser.com
11/20/2025
2
Disposition of 1112 shares by Ronald Zimmerly of Middlefield Banc at 34.82 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
 
Middlefield Banc dividend paid on 12th of December 2025
12/12/2025
4
Acquisition by Michael Ranttila of 4520 shares of Middlefield Banc subject to Rule 16b-3
12/24/2025
5
Disposition of 670 shares by Michael Cheravitch of Middlefield Banc at 34.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
6
Acquisition by Ronald Zimmerly of 2288 shares of Middlefield Banc at 34.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
7
Our recent take on Middlefield analyst consensus
01/28/2026
8
Independent Proxy Advisory Firm ISS Recommends Shareholders Vote FOR Middlefield Banc Corp. Proposed Merger with Farmers National Banc Corp.
01/30/2026
9
Acquisition by Michael Cheravitch of 2630 shares of Middlefield Banc subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow60.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-43.3 M

Middlefield Banc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,396  in Middlefield Banc on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Middlefield Banc or give up 0.27% of portfolio value over 90 days. Middlefield Banc is currently generating 0.0147% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9662% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Middlefield, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Middlefield Banc is expected to generate 6.1 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Middlefield Banc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Middlefield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 34.15 90 days 34.15 
about 61.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Middlefield Banc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.08 (This Middlefield Banc probability density function shows the probability of Middlefield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Middlefield Banc has a beta of 0.0601. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Middlefield Banc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Middlefield Banc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Middlefield Banc has an alpha of 0.0788, implying that it can generate a 0.0788 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Middlefield Banc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Middlefield Banc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Middlefield Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlefield Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.9033.8735.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.1934.1636.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.4732.4334.40
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.9434.0037.74
Details

Middlefield Banc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Middlefield Banc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Middlefield Banc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Middlefield Banc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Middlefield Banc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Middlefield Banc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Middlefield Banc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Middlefield Banc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Middlefield Banc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Middlefield Banc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 12th of December 2025 Middlefield Banc paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from Michael Cheravitch: Acquisition by Michael Cheravitch of 2630 shares of Middlefield Banc subject to Rule 16b-3

Middlefield Banc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Middlefield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Middlefield Banc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Middlefield Banc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments211.8 M

Middlefield Banc Fundamentals Growth

Middlefield Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Middlefield Banc, and Middlefield Banc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Middlefield Stock performance.

About Middlefield Banc Performance

By examining Middlefield Banc's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Middlefield Banc's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Middlefield Banc is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(177.10)(185.96)
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.11 

Things to note about Middlefield Banc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Middlefield Banc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Middlefield Banc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Middlefield Banc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Middlefield Banc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 12th of December 2025 Middlefield Banc paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from Michael Cheravitch: Acquisition by Michael Cheravitch of 2630 shares of Middlefield Banc subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Middlefield Banc's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Middlefield Banc's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Middlefield Banc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Middlefield Banc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Middlefield Banc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Middlefield Banc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Middlefield Banc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Middlefield Banc's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Middlefield Banc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Middlefield Banc's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Middlefield Banc's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Middlefield Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Middlefield Banc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Middlefield Banc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Middlefield Banc Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Middlefield Banc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.
To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Middlefield diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. Expected growth trajectory for Middlefield significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Middlefield Banc data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.242
Dividend Share
0.83
Earnings Share
2.61
Revenue Per Share
9.333
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.336
Understanding Middlefield Banc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Middlefield's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Middlefield Banc's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Middlefield Banc's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Middlefield Banc's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Middlefield Banc represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Middlefield Banc's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.