Middlefield Banc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MBCN Stock | USD 30.83 0.53 1.75% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Middlefield Banc is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Middlefield Banc's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Middlefield Banc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Middlefield and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Middlefield Banc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Middlefield |
Execute Middlefield Banc Buy or Sell Advice
The Middlefield recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Middlefield Banc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Middlefield Banc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Middlefield Banc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Middlefield Banc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Middlefield Banc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Middlefield Banc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Middlefield Banc Corp. Declares Quarterly Dividend of 0.20 |
Middlefield Banc Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Middlefield Banc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Middlefield Banc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Middlefield Banc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Middlefield Banc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Middlefield Banc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Middlefield Banc.
| Mean Return | 0.41 | Value At Risk | -2.9 | Potential Upside | 7.42 | Standard Deviation | 3.36 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Middlefield Banc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Middlefield Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Middlefield Banc, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Middlefield Banc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fundamentun, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 39.4 K | Lineweaver Wealth Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 38.5 K | Huntington National Bank | 2024-06-30 | 34.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 33.6 K | Redmont Wealth Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 25.1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 21.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 20.3 K | Riggs Asset Management Co Inc | 2024-09-30 | 18.4 K | Flaharty Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 17.5 K | Castle Creek Capital Partners Vi Lp | 2024-06-30 | 560.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 460.5 K |
Middlefield Banc Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (72.8M) | 77.3M | 7.1M | (65.7M) | 7.0M | 7.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 11.6M | 14.0M | 14.8M | 17.5M | 21.3M | 22.3M | |
| Depreciation | 2.0M | 2.0M | 2.1M | 1.8M | 1.0M | 1.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.6M) | 8.0M | (6.1M) | 675K | 3.1M | 3.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.7M | 3.8M | 4.2M | 5.5M | 6.9M | 7.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.9M | 1.1M | 605K | 884K | 1.1M | 1.0M | |
| Net Income | 12.7M | 8.3M | 18.6M | 15.7M | 17.4M | 18.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 35.1M | 112.4M | 119.5M | 53.8M | 60.8M | 39.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (173K) | 337K | 343K | (395K) | (454.3K) | (477.0K) | |
| Investments | 1.8M | (135.3M) | (57.4M) | (27.5M) | (69.8M) | (66.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | (422K) | (345K) | 162K | (209K) | (188.1K) | (178.7K) | |
| Net Borrowings | (85.7M) | (1.8M) | (4.2M) | 64.8M | 74.5M | 78.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.1M | 6.8M | (6.0M) | (185K) | (166.5K) | (158.2K) |
Middlefield Banc Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Middlefield Banc or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Middlefield Banc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Middlefield stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Middlefield Banc Volatility Alert
Middlefield Banc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Middlefield Banc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Middlefield Banc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Middlefield Banc Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Middlefield Banc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Middlefield Banc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Middlefield Banc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Middlefield Banc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Middlefield Banc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Middlefield Banc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Middlefield Banc to competition |
| Fundamentals | Middlefield Banc | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0703 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0078 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 288.39 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 8.07 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.18 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 33.24 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 127.13 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.90 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.85 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 90.3 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 56.92 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 28.48 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 17.37 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 128.58 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 22.29 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 175.43 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 26.11 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 22.36 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 13.21 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.75 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 30.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 256 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.7 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 248.83 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.82 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 100.24 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.59 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.82 B |
Note: Disposition of 105 shares by Thompson Alfred F Jr of Middlefield Banc at 25.52 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Middlefield Banc Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Middlefield . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Middlefield Banc Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Middlefield Banc? Buying financial instruments such as Middlefield Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Middlefield Banc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Middlefield Banc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. If investors know Middlefield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Middlefield Banc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 1.75 | Revenue Per Share 8.002 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Middlefield Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Middlefield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Middlefield Banc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Middlefield Banc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Middlefield Banc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Middlefield Banc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Middlefield Banc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Middlefield Banc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Middlefield Banc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.