MBIA Inc Stock Performance
| MBI Stock | USD 6.02 0.31 5.43% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
0 · Weak
During the last 90 trading days, MBIA Inc produced returns below breakeven, signaling weak efficiency for investors with long positions. At micro-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. MBIA has produced near-zero returns recently, indicating neutral to weak return quality for holders. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -10.64 | Five Day Return -4.19 | Year To Date Return -20.25 | Ten Year Return -22.10 | All Time Return -22.10 |
Last Split Factor 3:2 | Dividend Date 2023-12-22 | Ex Dividend Date 2023-12-15 | Last Split Date 2001-04-23 |
1 | Acquisition by Joseph Schachinger of 23184 shares of MBIA at 6.47 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/13/2026 |
2 | MBIA Inc Q 4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Losses and Strategic Decisions | 02/27/2026 |
3 | Disposition of 6061 shares by Daniel Avitabile of MBIA at 6.5 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/03/2026 |
4 | Acquisition by Daniel Avitabile of 80769 shares of MBIA at 6.5 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/04/2026 |
5 | Acquisition by Richard Vaughan of 16502 shares of MBIA at 6.06 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/17/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 16997 shares by Adam Bergonzi of MBIA at 6.47 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/20/2026 |
7 | MBI Stock Chart MBIA INC - Chart Mill | 04/09/2026 |
8 | MBI Forecast, Price Target Analyst Ratings MBIA INC - Chart Mill | 04/17/2026 |
9 | MBIA Inc. Investor Conference Call to Discuss First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Scheduled for Friday, May 8 at 830 A.M. Eastern Time | 05/01/2026 |
10 | MBIA Non-GAAP EPS of -0.16 misses by 0.01 | 05/07/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 616.00 in MBIA Inc on February 10, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 45.00 , a decline of 7.31% over 90 days. MBIA Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.62% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, MBIA exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 77% of comparable stocks, and MBI delivers lower expected returns than 99% of comparable equities over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Historical averages are sometimes used as a secondary reference point when assessing MBIA Stock price behavior. In practice, valuation gaps may persist longer than expected when market sentiment or liquidity conditions dominate trading activity. Changes in interest rates, capital flows, or geopolitical developments can influence how investors value MBIA Stock.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.02 | 90 days | 6.02 | about 57.09 % |
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of MBIA moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 57.09 %. Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for MBIA Stock over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for MBIA Stock.
MBIA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MBIA
For MBIA Inc, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future stock price direction. No method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for MBIA Inc price behavior.Mean reversion analysis in MBIA's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices relative to historical norms contrast with unusually low prices, where recovery expectations may emerge. Mean reversion in MBIA is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals.
Primary Risk Indicators
The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in MBIA. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in MBIA Inc. A disciplined approach to monitoring MBIA's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1626 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0618 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Monitoring MBIA alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for MBIA Inc helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for MBIA focus on the signals most relevant to a given strategy.| MBIA Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MBIA Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MBI reported last year's revenue of $80 million. Reported Net Loss for the year was -$177 million with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of $113 million. | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: MBIA Non-GAAP EPS of -0.16 misses by 0.01 |
Price Density Drivers
The price of MBIA Stock is driven by buyer and seller positioning dynamics along with broader market trends. Because market risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Understanding MBIA's price drivers determines whether movements reflect underlying changes or positioning shifts.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.28 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.52 billion |
MBIA Fundamentals Growth
MBIA's financial fundamentals are the foundation of MBIA Stock market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward MBIA Stock. MBIA Stock market pricing reflects the collective assessment of MBIA's financial fundamentals.
| Current Valuation | 3.6 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.93 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -3.04 X | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
MBIA risk-adjusted performance measures whether returns compensate for the volatility borne by holders. Sharpe and Sortino ratios frame return efficiency relative to total and downside risk. MBIA shows ROA of 0.99% (TTM) vs -8.35% (last reported).
MBIA Inc analytics rely on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board