Origin Bancorp Stock Performance
| OBK Stock | 42.63 1.90 4.66% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Origin Bancorp holds a performance score of 15. The company holds a Beta of 1.04, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Origin Bancorp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Origin Bancorp is expected to follow. Please check Origin Bancorp's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Origin Bancorp's historical price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Origin Bancorp are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent fundamental drivers, Origin Bancorp disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.66) | Five Day Return (2.33) | Year To Date Return 8.21 | Ten Year Return 19.79 | All Time Return 19.79 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0147 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 1:3 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.6 | Dividend Date 2025-11-28 |
1 | Origin Bancorp Trading Down 3.6 percent Whats Next | 11/19/2025 |
| Origin Bancorp dividend paid on 28th of November 2025 | 11/28/2025 |
2 | Origin Bancorp You Need To Look Through The Bad Q3 Results - Seeking Alpha | 12/18/2025 |
3 | Origin Bancorp on Pace for Longest Winning Streak Since April 2019 -- Data Talk - | 12/29/2025 |
4 | Why Origin Bancorp Inc. stock remains undervalued - Large Cap Stability Picks Free Triple Digit Wealth Increase - ulpravda.ru | 01/07/2026 |
5 | Origin Bancorp Insiders Added US1.02m Of Stock To Their Holdings | 01/09/2026 |
6 | Origin Bancorp Cut to Strong Sell at Zacks Research | 01/14/2026 |
7 | Is Origin Bancorp Pricing Its Recent Share Gains Fairly | 01/21/2026 |
8 | Origin Bancorps Q4 CY2025 Strong Sales | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 280.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 231.9 M |
Origin Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,451 in Origin Bancorp on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 622.00 from holding Origin Bancorp or generate 18.02% return on investment over 90 days. Origin Bancorp is generating 0.2874% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4923% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Origin, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Origin Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Origin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 42.63 | 90 days | 42.63 | about 1.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Origin Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.3 (This Origin Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Origin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This indicates Origin Bancorp market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Origin Bancorp is expected to follow. Additionally Origin Bancorp has an alpha of 0.2547, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Origin Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Origin Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Origin Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Origin Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Origin Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Origin Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Origin Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Origin Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Origin Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Origin Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Origin Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from stockstory.org: Origin Bancorps Q4 CY2025 Strong Sales |
Origin Bancorp Fundamentals Growth
Origin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Origin Bancorp, and Origin Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Origin Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0508 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0061 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.18 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 734.51 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 30.97 M | |||
| Price To Book | 1.04 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.87 X | |||
| Revenue | 325.59 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 325.59 M | |||
| EBITDA | 114.06 M | |||
| Net Income | 76.49 M | |||
| Total Debt | 172.4 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 39.23 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 108.48 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.91 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.26 B | |||
| Total Asset | 9.68 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 557.92 M | |||
About Origin Bancorp Performance
By examining Origin Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Origin Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Origin Bancorp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.06 | 0.06 |
Things to note about Origin Bancorp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Origin Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Origin Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from stockstory.org: Origin Bancorps Q4 CY2025 Strong Sales |
- Analyzing Origin Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Origin Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Origin Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Origin Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Origin Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Origin Bancorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Origin Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of Origin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Origin Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
Origin Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Origin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Origin Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.