Valvoline Stock Analysis

VVV Stock  USD 37.74  0.32  0.86%   
Valvoline is undervalued with Real Value of 41.01 and Target Price of 43.62. The main objective of Valvoline stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Valvoline is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Valvoline's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Valvoline stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Valvoline is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day. Valvoline Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Valvoline. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Valvoline Stock please use our How to Invest in Valvoline guide.

Valvoline Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.1. Valvoline last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. The entity had 1:20 split on the August 29, 2011. Valvoline Inc. manufactures, markets, and supplies, engine and automotive maintenance products and services. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky. Valvoline operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 9800 people. For more information please call Samuel Mitchell at 859 357 7777 or visit https://www.valvoline.com.

Valvoline Quarterly Total Revenue

435.5 Million

Valvoline Investment Alerts

Valvoline generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Valvoline shareholders approve board nominees and auditor - Investing.com

Valvoline Upcoming and Recent Events

6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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14th of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Valvoline Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Valvoline's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-08-03
2020-06-300.240.280.0416 
2019-02-06
2018-12-310.310.27-0.0412 
2021-02-03
2020-12-310.360.410.0513 
View All Earnings Estimates

Valvoline Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Valvoline's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Valvoline's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Valvoline's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Valvoline's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Valvoline Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.6 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.2 M
Oz Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Tensile Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.9 M
Newport Trust Co.2024-09-30
1.6 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
1.5 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
12.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
12.1 M
Note, although Valvoline's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Valvoline Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.84 B.

Valvoline Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.11 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.26 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.26 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.17 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.25 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.13 
Return On Equity 1.03  1.08 

Management Efficiency

Valvoline has Return on Asset of 0.0769 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0769 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 1.0227 %, implying that it generated $1.0227 on every 100 dollars invested. Valvoline's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Valvoline manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to climb to 0.17 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to climb to 0.25 in 2025. At this time, Valvoline's Other Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to climb to 0.17 in 2025, whereas Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop (451.1 M) in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.64  1.72 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(4.60)(4.83)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 16.54  11.57 
Price Book Value Ratio 26.40  27.72 
Enterprise Value Multiple 16.54  11.57 
Price Fair Value 26.40  27.72 
The leadership approach at Valvoline's fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
0.2623
Profit Margin
0.1068
Beta
1.462
Return On Assets
0.0769
Return On Equity
1.0227

Technical Drivers

As of the 31st of January, Valvoline has the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), coefficient of variation of (1,320), and Variance of 3.21. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Valvoline, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Valvoline information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Valvoline is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 37.74 per share. Given that Valvoline has information ratio of (0.13), we advise you to double-check Valvoline's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Valvoline Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourty-four with a total number of output elements of seventeen. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Valvoline middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Valvoline. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Valvoline Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Valvoline insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Valvoline's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Valvoline insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Valvoline Outstanding Bonds

Valvoline issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Valvoline uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Valvoline bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Valvoline has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Valvoline Predictive Daily Indicators

Valvoline intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Valvoline stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Valvoline Corporate Filings

F4
30th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
27th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
24th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
13th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
30th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
18th of December 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
13th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Valvoline Forecast Models

Valvoline's time-series forecasting models are one of many Valvoline's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Valvoline's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Valvoline Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Valvoline prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Valvoline shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Valvoline. By using and applying Valvoline Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Valvoline entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.20  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.15 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.20 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.30 

Current Valvoline Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Valvoline analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Valvoline analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
43.62Strong Buy14Odds
Valvoline current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Valvoline analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Valvoline stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Valvoline, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Valvoline conference calls.
Valvoline Analyst Advice Details

Valvoline Stock Analysis Indicators

Valvoline stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Valvoline stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Valvoline shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Valvoline stock analysis, traders can identify Valvoline position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow413.1 M
Long Term Debt1.1 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131 M
Total Stockholder Equity185.6 M
Tax Provision69.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.403
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments68.3 M
Cash68.3 M
Accounts Payable117.4 M
Net Debt1.3 B
50 Day M A37.653
Total Current Liabilities353.9 M
Other Operating Expenses1.3 B
Non Current Assets Total2.2 B
Forward Price Earnings23.8663
Non Currrent Assets Other220.4 M
Stock Based Compensation12 M

Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis

When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.