Popular Stock Price Prediction

BPOP Stock  USD 101.80  2.84  2.87%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Popular's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Popular, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Popular's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Popular, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Popular's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.137
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.28
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.536
EPS Estimate Next Year
9.854
Wall Street Target Price
104.1111
Using Popular hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Popular from the perspective of Popular response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Popular Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Popular's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Popular. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Popular can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Popular. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Popular's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Popular.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Popular to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Popular because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Popular after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 101.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Popular Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Popular Stock, please use our How to Invest in Popular guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.9085.34111.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.24101.68104.13
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
69.1676.0084.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.122.132.15
Details

Popular After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Popular at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Popular or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Popular, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Popular Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Popular's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Popular's historical news coverage. Popular's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 99.35 and 104.23, respectively. We have considered Popular's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
101.80
101.79
After-hype Price
104.23
Upside
Popular is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Popular is based on 3 months time horizon.

Popular Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Popular is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Popular backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Popular, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.44
  0.01 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
16 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
101.80
101.79
0.01 
1,017  
Notes

Popular Hype Timeline

Popular is currently traded for 101.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Popular is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 101.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Popular is about 4715.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.80. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Popular has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.75. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.36. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. Popular had 1:10 split on the 30th of May 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Popular Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Popular Stock, please use our How to Invest in Popular guide.

Popular Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Popular's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Popular's future price movements. Getting to know how Popular's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Popular may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OFGOFG Bancorp(0.91)7 per month 2.05 (0.01) 3.27 (2.63) 17.60 
FBMSThe First Bancshares,(1.29)7 per month 1.48  0.06  4.00 (3.51) 16.66 
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial(0.31)6 per month 1.33  0.06  3.69 (2.63) 20.14 
FBNCFirst Bancorp 0.42 6 per month 1.50  0.06  3.82 (2.51) 16.50 
FBPFirst Bancorp(0.14)8 per month 2.10 (0.01) 2.90 (3.55) 19.73 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services 0.16 10 per month 1.05  0.05  1.52 (1.16) 9.44 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings(0.92)9 per month 1.62  0.05  3.29 (2.64) 17.64 
BWFGBankwell Financial Group(0.25)8 per month 2.20  0.08  3.64 (4.51) 17.30 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.59 8 per month 0.75  0.04  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
BANFBancFirst 0.92 10 per month 1.42  0.09  3.67 (2.90) 20.44 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares(0.11)7 per month 1.17  0.08  3.23 (2.03) 17.03 
UMBFUMB Financial(2.42)10 per month 1.10  0.11  3.60 (2.08) 16.37 
CBSHCommerce Bancshares(0.15)9 per month 1.02  0.08  2.63 (1.79) 13.35 
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares(0.04)9 per month 1.72  0.09  3.20 (3.48) 17.85 
NBTBNBT Bancorp 0.41 8 per month 1.57  0.01  3.15 (2.22) 17.43 
FISIFinancial Institutions 0.41 10 per month 1.80  0.04  4.07 (3.22) 18.30 
BHLBBerkshire Hills Bancorp(0.66)6 per month 1.14  0.07  3.09 (1.83) 17.01 
FDBCFidelity DD Bancorp 1.68 7 per month 2.21  0.06  5.30 (3.75) 15.54 
CATCCambridge Bancorp 0.73 8 per month 1.59  0.04  3.56 (2.51) 7.89 
BCBPBCB Bancorp(0.23)7 per month 1.85  0.05  3.75 (2.74) 15.33 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.06 8 per month 0.44 (0.20) 0.71 (0.65) 4.44 
BRKLBrookline Bancorp 0.26 8 per month 1.11  0.14  4.12 (2.11) 14.18 
ACNBACNB Corporation 0.60 8 per month 2.05  0.07  3.61 (2.90) 24.97 

Popular Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Popular price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Popular using various technical indicators. When you analyze Popular charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Popular Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Popular stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Popular, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Popular based on analysis of Popular hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Popular's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Popular's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02120.03240.02720.0299
Price To Sales Ratio2.611.72.232.33

Story Coverage note for Popular

The number of cover stories for Popular depends on current market conditions and Popular's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Popular is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Popular's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Popular Short Properties

Popular's future price predictability will typically decrease when Popular's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Popular often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Popular's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Popular's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments383.4 M

Additional Tools for Popular Stock Analysis

When running Popular's price analysis, check to measure Popular's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Popular is operating at the current time. Most of Popular's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Popular's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Popular's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Popular to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.