Coastal Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction

CCB Stock  USD 76.69  1.36  1.81%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Coastal Financial's share price is above 70 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Coastal, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Coastal Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coastal Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Coastal Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.293
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.3325
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.56
Wall Street Target Price
76.25
Using Coastal Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coastal Financial Corp from the perspective of Coastal Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Coastal Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Coastal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Coastal Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 76.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Coastal Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coastal Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.4769.9182.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.3374.7677.20
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
53.0158.2564.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.810.960.84
Details

Coastal Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Coastal Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coastal Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coastal Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coastal Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Coastal Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coastal Financial's historical news coverage. Coastal Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.30 and 79.18, respectively. We have considered Coastal Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
76.69
76.74
After-hype Price
79.18
Upside
Coastal Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coastal Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coastal Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coastal Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coastal Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coastal Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.61 
2.44
  1.46 
  0.03 
10 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.69
76.74
1.87 
102.09  
Notes

Coastal Financial Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Coastal Financial Corp is traded for 76.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Coastal is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 76.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 102.09%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.87%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Coastal Financial is about 5483.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.66. The company reported the last year's revenue of 330.37 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 44.58 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 217.4 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Coastal Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Coastal Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coastal Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coastal Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Coastal Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coastal Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.08 7 per month 0.44 (0.17) 0.71 (0.65) 4.44 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.12  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 2.40 (0.01) 3.82 (4.31) 21.70 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.1  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
FBIZFirst Business Financial(0.66)8 per month 1.75  0.07  3.96 (3.58) 16.67 
OPOFOld Point Financial 0.50 6 per month 1.47  0.07  2.99 (2.21) 9.05 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
PKBKParke Bancorp(0.34)8 per month 0.98  0.11  2.75 (1.88) 9.72 
FCCOFirst Community 0.04 8 per month 1.14  0.06  4.19 (2.28) 11.05 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.09)8 per month 1.08  0.03  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.07 5 per month 0.76 (0.11) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.69  0  4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
LNKBLINKBANCORP(0.09)6 per month 1.54  0.07  4.29 (2.70) 10.82 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.59 8 per month 0.73  0.06  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
CFBCrossFirst Bankshares(0.30)10 per month 1.74 (0.03) 3.90 (3.00) 18.20 
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp 0.04 6 per month 1.73  0.07  4.33 (3.03) 20.79 
RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp(0.07)3 per month 1.11  0.1  4.15 (2.65) 9.98 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.25  0.02  3.69 (2.95) 8.55 
ORRFOrrstown Financial Services 0.15 8 per month 0.96  0.09  2.84 (2.38) 12.95 

Coastal Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coastal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coastal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coastal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Coastal Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Coastal Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Coastal Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Coastal Financial based on analysis of Coastal Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Coastal Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Coastal Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding29.0648.2443.4224.58
PTB Ratio3.022.532.03.92

Story Coverage note for Coastal Financial

The number of cover stories for Coastal Financial depends on current market conditions and Coastal Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coastal Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coastal Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Coastal Financial Short Properties

Coastal Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coastal Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coastal Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coastal Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coastal Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments582.6 M

Complementary Tools for Coastal Stock analysis

When running Coastal Financial's price analysis, check to measure Coastal Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coastal Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Coastal Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coastal Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coastal Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coastal Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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