Ciena (Germany) Technical Analysis
| CIE1 Stock | EUR 259.90 32.00 14.04% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Ciena shows the mean deviation of 3.95, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1057. Ciena technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Ciena mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation to decide if Ciena is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 259.9 per share.
Ciena Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ciena, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CienaCiena |
Ciena 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ciena's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ciena.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ciena on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ciena or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ciena over 90 days. Ciena is related to or competes with PT Bank, BK MANDIRI, PT Bank, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Electronics, and Samsung Electronics. Ciena Corporation provides network hardware, software, and services that support the transport, switching, aggregation, ... More
Ciena Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ciena's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ciena upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1123 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.76 |
Ciena Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ciena's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ciena's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ciena historical prices to predict the future Ciena's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1057 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5524 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3493 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1149 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3325 |
Ciena February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1057 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3425 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.65 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 817.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.27 | |||
| Variance | 27.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1123 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5524 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3493 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1149 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3325 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.14) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2594 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3145 |
Ciena Backtested Returns
Ciena is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Ciena secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the company had a 0.19 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.02% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Ciena risk adjusted performance of 0.1057, and Mean Deviation of 3.95 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Ciena holds a performance score of 15 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.91, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ciena will likely underperform. Use Ciena mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to analyze future returns on Ciena.
Auto-correlation | 0.51 |
Modest predictability
Ciena has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ciena time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ciena price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Ciena price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 317.56 |
Ciena technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ciena Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Ciena volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Ciena Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ciena on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ciena based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ciena price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ciena. By analyzing Ciena's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ciena's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ciena specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ciena February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ciena help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ciena from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ciena charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1057 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3425 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.65 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 817.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.27 | |||
| Variance | 27.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1123 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5524 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3493 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1149 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3325 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.14) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2594 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3145 |
Ciena February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ciena stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 5.42 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.14 | ||
| Day Median Price | 256.95 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 257.93 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 18.95 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.90 |
Complementary Tools for Ciena Stock analysis
When running Ciena's price analysis, check to measure Ciena's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ciena is operating at the current time. Most of Ciena's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ciena's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ciena's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ciena to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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