Cincinnati Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| CINF Stock | USD 160.89 2.70 1.71% |
As of the 30th of January, Cincinnati Financial shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0224, mean deviation of 0.7949, and Downside Deviation of 1.17. Cincinnati Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Cincinnati Financial jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and skewness to decide if Cincinnati Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 160.89 per share. Given that Cincinnati Financial has jensen alpha of 0.0046, we suggest you to validate Cincinnati Financial's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Cincinnati Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Cincinnati, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CincinnatiCincinnati | Build AI portfolio with Cincinnati Stock |
Cincinnati Financial Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 173.67 | Buy | 8 | Odds |
Most Cincinnati analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Cincinnati stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Cincinnati Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Cincinnati conference calls.
Can Property & Casualty Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does Cincinnati have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cincinnati Financial. Projected growth potential of Cincinnati fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Cincinnati Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.367 | Dividend Share 3.42 | Earnings Share 13.45 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
Understanding Cincinnati Financial requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cincinnati's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Cincinnati Financial's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cincinnati Financial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cincinnati Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cincinnati Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cincinnati Financial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Cincinnati Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cincinnati Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cincinnati Financial.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Cincinnati Financial on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cincinnati Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cincinnati Financial over 90 days. Cincinnati Financial is related to or competes with Markel, W R, Loews Corp, Northern Trust, First Citizens, and Huntington Bancshares. Cincinnati Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property casualty insurance products in the U... More
Cincinnati Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cincinnati Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cincinnati Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.67 |
Cincinnati Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cincinnati Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cincinnati Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cincinnati Financial historical prices to predict the future Cincinnati Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0224 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0046 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0688 |
Cincinnati Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0224 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0788 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7949 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3763.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0046 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0688 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.76) | |||
| Skewness | (0.52) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.62 |
Cincinnati Financial Backtested Returns
At this point, Cincinnati Financial is very steady. Cincinnati Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.091, which signifies that the company had a 0.091 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Cincinnati Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Cincinnati Financial's Mean Deviation of 0.7949, risk adjusted performance of 0.0224, and Downside Deviation of 1.17 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0886%. Cincinnati Financial has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cincinnati Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cincinnati Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Cincinnati Financial right now shows a risk of 0.97%. Please confirm Cincinnati Financial sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Cincinnati Financial will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.08 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Cincinnati Financial has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cincinnati Financial time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cincinnati Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Cincinnati Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.41 |
Cincinnati Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Cincinnati Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Cincinnati Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Cincinnati Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Cincinnati Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cincinnati Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Cincinnati Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Cincinnati Financial. By analyzing Cincinnati Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Cincinnati Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Cincinnati Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0278 | 0.0218 | 0.0251 | 0.0341 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.63 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 1.52 |
Cincinnati Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Cincinnati help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cincinnati from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Cincinnati charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0224 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0788 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7949 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3763.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0046 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0688 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.76) | |||
| Skewness | (0.52) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.62 |
Cincinnati Financial January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cincinnati stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.80 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 159.41 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 159.90 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.83 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.36 |
Complementary Tools for Cincinnati Stock analysis
When running Cincinnati Financial's price analysis, check to measure Cincinnati Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cincinnati Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Cincinnati Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cincinnati Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cincinnati Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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