Lincoln National Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LNC Stock | USD 35.49 0.67 1.92% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lincoln National is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Lincoln National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LNC positions.
Check out Lincoln National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Lincoln Stock refer to our How to Trade Lincoln Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lincoln and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lincoln National. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Lincoln |
Execute Lincoln National Buy or Sell Advice
The Lincoln recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lincoln National. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lincoln National or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lincoln National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Lincoln National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.64 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (752 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (1.73 B). | |
| Lincoln National has about 3.34 B in cash with (2.07 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 30.7. | |
| Lincoln National has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Lincoln National paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: Anti-Abortion Group Sues Gov Over Unconscionable Insurance Mandate |
Lincoln National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lincoln National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lincoln National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lincoln National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lincoln National price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lincoln National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lincoln National.
| Mean Return | 0.23 | Value At Risk | -3.07 | Potential Upside | 3.45 | Standard Deviation | 2.45 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lincoln National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lincoln Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 2.2 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.2 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 1.9 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 20.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 16.3 M |
Lincoln National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 218M | (855M) | 904M | 731M | 22M | 20.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (2.7B) | 534M | 151M | 4.0B | (2.1B) | (2.0B) | |
| Depreciation | (409M) | (41M) | (46M) | (74M) | 39M | 41.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.1B) | 948M | (113M) | 1.0B | 1.6B | 1.6B | |
| Dividends Paid | 303M | 311M | 319M | 310M | 387M | 242.1M | |
| Net Income | 886M | 499M | 1.4B | (2.2B) | (752M) | (714.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.6B | 1.7B | 2.6B | 3.3B | 3.4B | 2.6B | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.1B) | 435M | (325M) | 1.3B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Investments | (1.9B) | (11.4B) | (7.2B) | (9.4B) | (4.4B) | (4.6B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 394M | 180M | (8M) | (4M) | (4.6M) | (4.4M) |
Lincoln National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lincoln National or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lincoln National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lincoln stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Lincoln National Volatility Alert
Lincoln National currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lincoln National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lincoln National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lincoln National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lincoln National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lincoln National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lincoln National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lincoln National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lincoln National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lincoln National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lincoln National to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lincoln National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0578 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0015 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.79 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 170.34 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 74.76 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.63 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 12.03 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.44 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 11.64 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (1.73 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (773 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (752 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.34 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 30.70 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.08 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 3.51 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.69 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 47.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.07 B) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.63 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.43 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 35.64 | |
| Number Of Employees | 11.02 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.78 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.93 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 372.41 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 4.78 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % |
Note: Acquisition by Deirdre Connelly of 1409 shares of Lincoln National subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Lincoln National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lincoln . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lincoln National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lincoln National? Buying financial instruments such as Lincoln Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Lincoln National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Lincoln Stock refer to our How to Trade Lincoln Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lincoln National. If investors know Lincoln will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lincoln National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.736 | Dividend Share 1.8 | Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share 79.547 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Lincoln National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lincoln that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lincoln National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lincoln National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lincoln National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lincoln National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lincoln National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lincoln National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lincoln National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.