Sm Energy Co Stock Technical Analysis
| SM Stock | USD 21.46 0.00 0.00% |
As of the 16th of February 2026, SM Energy owns the Mean Deviation of 2.03, risk adjusted performance of 0.093, and Downside Deviation of 2.36. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check timely technical drivers of SM Energy, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate SM Energy standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if SM Energy Co is priced adequately, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 21.46 per share. Given that SM Energy has jensen alpha of 0.2261, we advise you to double-check SM Energy's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself sooner or later.
SM Energy Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as SM Energy, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SM EnergySM Energy | Build AI portfolio with SM Energy Stock |
SM Energy Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 30.75 | Buy | 14 | Odds |
Most SM Energy analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand SM Energy stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of SM Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to SM Energy conference calls.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could SM Energy diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SM Energy. If investors know SM Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SM Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 6.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.267 |
SM Energy's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on SM Energy's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate SM Energy's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since SM Energy's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SM Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
SM Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SM Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SM Energy.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in SM Energy on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SM Energy Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in SM Energy over 90 days. SM Energy is related to or competes with Northern Oil, Crescent Energy, BKV, Torm PLC, Cosan SA, Teekay Tankers, and Delek Energy. SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production o... More
SM Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SM Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SM Energy Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0801 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 |
SM Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SM Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SM Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SM Energy historical prices to predict the future SM Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.093 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2261 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0752 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0891 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3664 |
SM Energy February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.093 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3764 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 937.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0801 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2261 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0752 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0891 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3664 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.24) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3697 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.2381 |
SM Energy Backtested Returns
SM Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. SM Energy retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0948, which indicates the firm had a 0.0948 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for SM Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review SM Energy's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.093, downside deviation of 2.36, and Mean Deviation of 2.03 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, SM Energy holds a performance score of 7. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.74, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, SM Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SM Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check SM Energy's value at risk, and the relationship between the information ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether SM Energy's current price history will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.13 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
SM Energy Co has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SM Energy time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SM Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current SM Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.13 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.5 |
SM Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
SM Energy Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of SM Energy volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About SM Energy Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of SM Energy Co on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of SM Energy Co based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on SM Energy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding SM Energy. By analyzing SM Energy's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of SM Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to SM Energy specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0156 | 0.0191 | 0.022 | 0.013 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.94 | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.43 |
SM Energy February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of SM Energy help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SM Energy from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze SM Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.093 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3764 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 937.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0801 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2261 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0752 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0891 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3664 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.24) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3697 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.2381 |
SM Energy February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SM Energy stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 21.24 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 21.31 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.23 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.93 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in SM Energy Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could SM Energy diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SM Energy. If investors know SM Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SM Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 6.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.267 |
SM Energy's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on SM Energy's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate SM Energy's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since SM Energy's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SM Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.