STM Group (UK) Price Prediction
| STM Stock | 61.50 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
86
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.473 | Wall Street Target Price 72 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.15 |
Using STM Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STM Group Plc from the perspective of STM Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in STM Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying STM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
STM Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 62.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
STM |
STM Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STM Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STM Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STM Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STM Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STM Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STM Group's historical news coverage. STM Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.51 and 64.49, respectively. We have considered STM Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STM Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STM Group Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
STM Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STM Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STM Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STM Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 1.99 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
61.50 | 62.50 | 1.63 |
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STM Group Hype Timeline
STM Group Plc is at this time traded for 61.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.0, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.34. STM is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 62.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 79.6%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.63%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on STM Group is about 231.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.84. The company reported the revenue of 28.08 M. Net Income was 417 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.36 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.STM Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STM Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STM Group's future price movements. Getting to know how STM Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STM Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0QZ2 | Silvercorp Metals | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.96 | (6.39) | 27.96 | |
| BISI | Bisichi Mining PLC | 2.50 | 1 per month | 1.72 | 0.07 | 2.38 | (4.17) | 40.12 | |
| IAG | International Consolidated Airlines | 2.70 | 2 per month | 1.19 | 0.25 | 3.09 | (2.20) | 9.18 | |
| GROC | Greenroc Mining PLC | 0.00 | 2 per month | 3.34 | 0.08 | 10.00 | (6.90) | 55.36 | |
| 0LRK | Vulcan Materials Co | (0.79) | 1 per month | 1.35 | 0.05 | 3.38 | (1.85) | 9.11 | |
| CUSN | Cornish Metals | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.50 | 0.01 | 5.91 | (4.37) | 17.11 | |
| 0R0U | Coeur Mining | (0.10) | 2 per month | 3.91 | (0.01) | 7.37 | (6.11) | 31.08 | |
| PALM | Panther Metals PLC | 2.50 | 4 per month | 3.00 | 0.04 | 5.71 | (6.45) | 25.12 |
STM Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STM using various technical indicators. When you analyze STM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About STM Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of STM Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as STM Group Plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of STM Group based on analysis of STM Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to STM Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to STM Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for STM Group
The number of cover stories for STM Group depends on current market conditions and STM Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STM Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STM Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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STM Group Short Properties
STM Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when STM Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of STM Group Plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential STM Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STM Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 M |
Complementary Tools for STM Stock analysis
When running STM Group's price analysis, check to measure STM Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STM Group is operating at the current time. Most of STM Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STM Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STM Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STM Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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