Synchrony Financial Stock Price Prediction

SYF Stock  USD 65.99  0.85  1.30%   
The relative strength indicator of Synchrony Financial's share price is above 70 as of 25th of November 2024. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Synchrony, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Synchrony Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Synchrony Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Synchrony Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Synchrony Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Synchrony Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Synchrony Financial from the perspective of Synchrony Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Synchrony Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Synchrony because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Synchrony Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 67.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Synchrony Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Synchrony Stock please use our How to Invest in Synchrony Financial guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Synchrony Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.5854.5772.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.1964.1867.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.9165.7166.51
Details

Synchrony Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Synchrony Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Synchrony Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Synchrony Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Synchrony Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Synchrony Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Synchrony Financial's historical news coverage. Synchrony Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.49 and 70.47, respectively. We have considered Synchrony Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
65.99
67.48
After-hype Price
70.47
Upside
Synchrony Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Synchrony Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Synchrony Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Synchrony Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Synchrony Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Synchrony Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52 
3.01
 0.00  
  0.15 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
65.99
67.48
2.26 
0.00  
Notes

Synchrony Financial Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Synchrony Financial is traded for 65.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.15. Synchrony is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 67.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 2.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Synchrony Financial is about 1062.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.84. Synchrony Financial has 15.98 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.66, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Synchrony Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Synchrony Stock please use our How to Invest in Synchrony Financial guide.

Synchrony Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Synchrony Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Synchrony Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Synchrony Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Synchrony Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
COFCapital One Financial 0.00 0 per month 1.20  0.13  5.23 (2.39) 18.23 
AXPAmerican Express(1.40)8 per month 1.13  0.11  2.83 (2.19) 9.79 
ALLYAlly Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.83 (2.91) 19.33 
MAMastercard 0.68 7 per month 0.72  0.04  1.70 (1.33) 5.05 
DFSDiscover Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 1.50  0.12  4.04 (2.77) 24.36 
VVisa Class A 1.85 7 per month 1.06  0.08  2.23 (1.30) 7.73 
MGIMoneygram Int 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LCLendingClub Corp 0.24 12 per month 1.98  0.14  5.23 (3.31) 15.07 
NAVINavient Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.95 (3.50) 13.67 
FCFSFirstCash(3.94)7 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.31 (2.42) 9.46 
GDOTGreen Dot 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.15 (5.39) 30.98 
IXOrix Corp Ads(0.83)5 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.12 (2.89) 8.46 

Synchrony Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Synchrony price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Synchrony using various technical indicators. When you analyze Synchrony charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Synchrony Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Synchrony Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Synchrony Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Synchrony Financial based on analysis of Synchrony Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Synchrony Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Synchrony Financial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Synchrony Financial

The number of cover stories for Synchrony Financial depends on current market conditions and Synchrony Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Synchrony Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Synchrony Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Synchrony Financial Short Properties

Synchrony Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Synchrony Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Synchrony Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Synchrony Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synchrony Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding406.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.3 B

Complementary Tools for Synchrony Stock analysis

When running Synchrony Financial's price analysis, check to measure Synchrony Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Synchrony Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Synchrony Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Synchrony Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Synchrony Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Synchrony Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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