AMERISAFE EBITDA vs. Current Valuation

AMSF Stock  USD 58.77  0.17  0.29%   
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from AMERISAFE's financial statements, AMERISAFE's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average chance of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess AMERISAFE's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
EBITDA  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
78.8 M
Current Value
66.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
30.2 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
The AMERISAFE's current EV To Sales is estimated to increase to 2.93, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.46. At this time, AMERISAFE's Net Income From Continuing Ops is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Net Income Per E B T is estimated to increase to 0.87, while Net Income is projected to decrease to roughly 51.3 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.950.8285
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.110.2024
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.960.9102
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.140.2521
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.02960.0505
Way Down
Very volatile
Return On Equity0.220.2124
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
For AMERISAFE profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AMERISAFE to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AMERISAFE utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AMERISAFE's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AMERISAFE over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  
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For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMERISAFE. If investors know AMERISAFE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMERISAFE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.443
Dividend Share
1.45
Earnings Share
3.21
Revenue Per Share
16.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
The market value of AMERISAFE is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMERISAFE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMERISAFE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMERISAFE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMERISAFE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMERISAFE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMERISAFE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMERISAFE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMERISAFE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AMERISAFE Current Valuation vs. EBITDA Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining AMERISAFE's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare AMERISAFE value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
AMERISAFE is rated below average in ebitda category among its peers. It is rated below average in current valuation category among its peers reporting about  13.36  of Current Valuation per EBITDA. At this time, AMERISAFE's EBITDA is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value AMERISAFE by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

AMERISAFE Current Valuation vs. EBITDA

EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It is a measure of a company operating cash flow based on data from the company income statement and is a very good way to compare companies within industries or across different sectors. However, unlike Operating Cash Flow, EBITDA does not include the effects of changes in working capital.

AMERISAFE

EBITDA

 = 

Revenue

-

Basic Expenses

 = 
78.8 M
In a nutshell, EBITDA is calculated by adding back each of the excluded items to the post-tax profit, and can be used to compare companies with very different capital structures.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

AMERISAFE

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
1.05 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

AMERISAFE Current Valuation vs Competition

AMERISAFE is rated below average in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Financials industry is presently estimated at about 28.31 Billion. AMERISAFE holds roughly 1.05 Billion in current valuation claiming about 4% of equities under Financials industry.

AMERISAFE Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in AMERISAFE, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, AMERISAFE will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of AMERISAFE's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of AMERISAFE, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-7.2 M-6.8 M
Operating Income279.4 M293.3 M
Net Income62.1 M51.3 M
Income Tax Expense15.3 M16 M
Income Before Tax77.4 M65.8 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-202 M-191.9 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares63.9 M52.5 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops62.1 M71.1 M
Change To Netincome-2.4 M-2.3 M
Net Income Per Share 3.24  3.08 
Income Quality 0.48  0.46 
Net Income Per E B T 0.80  0.87 

AMERISAFE Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on AMERISAFE. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of AMERISAFE position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the AMERISAFE's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use AMERISAFE in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AMERISAFE position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AMERISAFE will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

AMERISAFE Pair Trading

AMERISAFE Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to AMERISAFE could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AMERISAFE when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AMERISAFE - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AMERISAFE to buy it.
The correlation of AMERISAFE is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AMERISAFE moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AMERISAFE moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AMERISAFE can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your AMERISAFE position

In addition to having AMERISAFE in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether AMERISAFE is a strong investment it is important to analyze AMERISAFE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AMERISAFE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AMERISAFE Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities.
For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
To fully project AMERISAFE's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of AMERISAFE at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include AMERISAFE's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential AMERISAFE investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although AMERISAFE investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in AMERISAFE's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on AMERISAFE's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.