Amerisafe Stock Technical Analysis
| AMSF Stock | USD 32.92 0.39 1.20% |
As of the 2nd of March, AMERISAFE shows the Standard Deviation of 1.82, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 1.24. AMERISAFE technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AMERISAFE market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if AMERISAFE is priced adequately, providing market reflects its regular price of 32.92 per share. Given that AMERISAFE has information ratio of (0.22), we suggest you to validate AMERISAFE's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.
AMERISAFE Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AMERISAFE, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AMERISAFEAMERISAFE | Build AI portfolio with AMERISAFE Stock |
AMERISAFE Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 42.33 | Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most AMERISAFE analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AMERISAFE stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AMERISAFE, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AMERISAFE conference calls.
Can Property & Casualty Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does AMERISAFE have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMERISAFE. If investors know AMERISAFE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating AMERISAFE demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Earnings Share 2.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.102 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate AMERISAFE using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AMERISAFE's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AMERISAFE's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AMERISAFE's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AMERISAFE represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AMERISAFE's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
AMERISAFE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMERISAFE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMERISAFE.
| 12/02/2025 |
| 03/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AMERISAFE on December 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMERISAFE or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMERISAFE over 90 days. AMERISAFE is related to or competes with Tiptree, Investors Title, Employers Holdings, Protector Forsikring, Trisura Group, Hippo Holdings, and First Acceptance. AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers compensation insurance in the United States More
AMERISAFE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMERISAFE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMERISAFE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.96 |
AMERISAFE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMERISAFE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMERISAFE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMERISAFE historical prices to predict the future AMERISAFE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.51) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.65) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMERISAFE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMERISAFE March 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.64) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (594.54) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.51) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.65) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.96 | |||
| Skewness | (1.53) | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.77 |
AMERISAFE Backtested Returns
AMERISAFE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the company had a -0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AMERISAFE exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AMERISAFE's Standard Deviation of 1.82, mean deviation of 1.24, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AMERISAFE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMERISAFE is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AMERISAFE has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to confirm AMERISAFE's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if AMERISAFE performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | 0.34 |
Below average predictability
AMERISAFE has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMERISAFE time series from 2nd of December 2025 to 16th of January 2026 and 16th of January 2026 to 2nd of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMERISAFE price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current AMERISAFE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.19 |
AMERISAFE technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
AMERISAFE Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for AMERISAFE across different markets.
About AMERISAFE Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AMERISAFE on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMERISAFE based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AMERISAFE price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AMERISAFE. By analyzing AMERISAFE's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AMERISAFE's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AMERISAFE specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0869 | 0.0667 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.18 | 2.3 |
AMERISAFE March 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of AMERISAFE help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMERISAFE from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AMERISAFE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.64) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (594.54) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.51) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.65) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.96 | |||
| Skewness | (1.53) | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.77 |
AMERISAFE March 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AMERISAFE stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.26 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 32.75 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 32.81 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.37 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.50 |
Complementary Tools for AMERISAFE Stock analysis
When running AMERISAFE's price analysis, check to measure AMERISAFE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMERISAFE is operating at the current time. Most of AMERISAFE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMERISAFE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMERISAFE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMERISAFE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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