Archer Aviation Stock Analysis

ACHR Stock  USD 10.35  0.83  8.72%   
Archer Aviation is fairly valued with Real Value of 10.22 and Target Price of 11.33. The main objective of Archer Aviation stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Archer Aviation is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Archer Aviation's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Archer Aviation stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Archer Aviation is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day. Archer Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Archer Aviation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
To learn how to invest in Archer Stock, please use our How to Invest in Archer Aviation guide.

Archer Stock Analysis Notes

About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.31. Archer Aviation had not issued any dividends in recent years. Archer Aviation Inc., an urban air mobility company, engages in designs, develops, manufactures, and operates electric vertical takeoff and landing aircrafts to carry passengers. Archer Aviation Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California. Archer Aviation operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 209 people. For more info on Archer Aviation please contact Adam Goldstein at 650 272 3233 or go to https://www.archer.com.

Archer Aviation Investment Alerts

Archer Aviation is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Archer Aviation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (457.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Archer Aviation currently holds about 600.6 M in cash with (271.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.47.
Archer Aviation has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is There An Opportunity With Archer Aviation Inc.s 49 percent Undervaluation

Archer Aviation Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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9th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Archer Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Archer Aviation's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-03-09
2022-12-31-0.29-0.32-0.0310 
2024-05-09
2024-03-31-0.32-0.36-0.0412 
2023-11-09
2023-09-30-0.3-0.260.0413 
View All Earnings Estimates

Archer Aviation Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Archer Aviation's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Archer Aviation's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Archer Aviation's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Archer Aviation's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Archer Aviation Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Archer Aviation stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Aircraft Idea
Aircraft
USA Equities from Aircraft industry as classified by Fama & French

Archer Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Hbk Investments L P2024-09-30
2.2 M
Alta Fundamental Advisers Llc2024-09-30
2.2 M
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
M
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2024-09-30
1.9 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
1.9 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
1.3 M
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Ark Investment Management Llc2024-12-31
29.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
20.4 M
Note, although Archer Aviation's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Archer Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 5.61 B.

Archer Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.95)(1.00)
Return On Capital Employed(1.16)(1.22)
Return On Assets(0.95)(1.00)
Return On Equity(1.43)(1.51)

Management Efficiency

Archer Aviation has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.5172) % which means that it has lost $0.5172 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.0762) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Archer Aviation's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Archer Aviation manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 02/16/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -1. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -1.22. At this time, Archer Aviation's Non Current Assets Total are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/16/2025, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 8.7 M, while Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop slightly above 337.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.22  1.08 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.22  1.08 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(2.43)(2.55)
Price Book Value Ratio 5.20  4.94 
Enterprise Value Multiple(2.43)(2.55)
Price Fair Value 5.20  4.94 
Enterprise Value1.1 B634.5 M
Examining the leadership quality of Archer Aviation offers valuable insights into its operational efficiency and financial health. This analysis assists investors in making informed decisions regarding the stock.
Beta
3.135
Return On Assets
(0.52)
Return On Equity
(1.08)

Technical Drivers

As of the 16th of February 2025, Archer Aviation shows the mean deviation of 6.48, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1616. Archer Aviation technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Archer Aviation coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and semi variance to decide if Archer Aviation is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 10.35 per share. Given that Archer Aviation has jensen alpha of 1.84, we suggest you to validate Archer Aviation's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Archer Aviation Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty with a total number of output elements of fourty-one. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Archer Aviation middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Archer Aviation. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Archer Aviation Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Archer Aviation insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Archer Aviation's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Archer Aviation insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Archer Aviation Outstanding Bonds

Archer Aviation issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Archer Aviation uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Archer bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Archer Aviation has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Archer Aviation Predictive Daily Indicators

Archer Aviation intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Archer Aviation stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Archer Aviation Corporate Filings

14th of February 2025
Other Reports
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ASR
11th of February 2025
Automatic Shelf Registration Statement under Rule 415 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
ViewVerify
22nd of January 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
10th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
3rd of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
27th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
20th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
19th of December 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Archer Aviation Forecast Models

Archer Aviation's time-series forecasting models are one of many Archer Aviation's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Archer Aviation's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Archer Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Archer Aviation prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Archer shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Archer Aviation. By using and applying Archer Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Archer entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year

Current Archer Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Archer analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Archer analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
11.33Strong Buy9Odds
Archer Aviation current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Archer analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Archer stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Archer Aviation, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Archer conference calls.
Archer Analyst Advice Details

Archer Stock Analysis Indicators

Archer Aviation stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Archer Aviation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Archer Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Archer Aviation stock analysis, traders can identify Archer Aviation position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow72.3 M
Long Term Debt7.2 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding270.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity367.1 M
Tax Provision500 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net66.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments464.6 M
Cash464.6 M
Accounts Payable14.3 M
Net Debt-441.4 M
50 Day M A9.2306
Total Current Liabilities114 M
Other Operating Expenses444.8 M
Non Current Assets Total74.1 M
Non Currrent Assets Other7.2 M
Stock Based Compensation45.2 M

Additional Tools for Archer Stock Analysis

When running Archer Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.