Moderna Stock Analysis
MRNA Stock | USD 41.04 0.32 0.79% |
Moderna is undervalued with Real Value of 48.23 and Target Price of 73.64. The main objective of Moderna stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Moderna is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Moderna's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Moderna stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Moderna's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Moderna |
Moderna Stock Analysis Notes
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.45. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Moderna recorded a loss per share of 5.81. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of August 2017. Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and auto-immune diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Moderna operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3700 people. To find out more about Moderna contact Stephane Bancel at 617 714 6500 or learn more at https://www.modernatx.com.Moderna Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Moderna's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Moderna or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Moderna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Moderna has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.85 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.71 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.4 B). | |
Moderna currently holds about 8.35 B in cash with (3.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.73. | |
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from newswire.com: Moderna Announces Updates on Pandemic Influenza Program |
Moderna Upcoming and Recent Events
Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Moderna previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
22nd of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Moderna Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Moderna's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-08-05 | 2020-06-30 | -0.35 | -0.31 | 0.04 | 11 | ||
2019-05-08 | 2019-03-31 | -0.36 | -0.4 | -0.04 | 11 | ||
2020-02-26 | 2019-12-31 | -0.42 | -0.37 | 0.05 | 11 |
Moderna Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Moderna's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Moderna's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Moderna's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Moderna's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Moderna Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Moderna stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Pharmaceutical ProductsUSA Equities from Pharmaceutical Products industry as classified by Fama & French |
Moderna Stock Institutional Investors
Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 3.5 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.4 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 3.4 M | Banque Pictet & Cie Sa | 2024-09-30 | 3.2 M | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 2.2 M | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2024-09-30 | 42.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 40.2 M |
Moderna Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 15.67 B.Moderna Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.44) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.04) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.04.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | (0.23) | (0.22) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.25) | (0.24) | |
Return On Assets | (0.23) | (0.22) | |
Return On Equity | (0.31) | (0.29) |
Management Efficiency
Moderna has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0955) % which means that it has lost $0.0955 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1752) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Moderna's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Moderna manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.22. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.24. At present, Moderna's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 23.1 B, whereas Other Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 462.8 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 32.64 | 34.27 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 32.41 | 34.03 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (9.96) | (10.46) | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 3.15 | 3.00 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | (9.96) | (10.46) | |
Price Fair Value | 3.15 | 3.00 | |
Enterprise Value | 33.5 B | 35.2 B |
Leadership effectiveness at Moderna is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Technical Drivers
As of the 30th of January, Moderna secures the Standard Deviation of 4.92, mean deviation of 3.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Moderna, as well as the relationship between them.Moderna Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Moderna middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Moderna. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Moderna Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Moderna insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Moderna's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Moderna insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
James Mock over three weeks ago Disposition of 1453 shares by James Mock of Moderna subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Noubar Afeyan over six months ago Disposition of 2100 shares by Noubar Afeyan of Moderna at 121.5699 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Noubar Afeyan over six months ago Disposition of 7996 shares by Noubar Afeyan of Moderna at 122.0689 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
James Mock over six months ago Disposition of 705 shares by James Mock of Moderna at 101.9281 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Moderna Outstanding Bonds
Moderna issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Moderna uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Moderna bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Moderna has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
BNP Paribas FRN Corp BondUSF1R15XK367 | View | |
MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View |
Moderna Predictive Daily Indicators
Moderna intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Moderna stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Accumulation Distribution | 763248.0 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1203 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
Day Median Price | 41.21 | |||
Day Typical Price | 41.15 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 0.32 |
Moderna Corporate Filings
8K | 13th of January 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 6th of January 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 10th of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 6th of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 4th of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 2nd of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 12th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 7th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
Moderna Forecast Models
Moderna's time-series forecasting models are one of many Moderna's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Moderna's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Moderna Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Moderna prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Moderna shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Moderna. By using and applying Moderna Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Moderna entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | (0.52) | (0.54) | |
Operating Profit Margin | (0.56) | (0.58) | |
Net Loss | (0.62) | (0.65) | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.28 | 0.22 |
Current Moderna Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Moderna analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Moderna analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
73.64 | Buy | 26 | Odds |
Most Moderna analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Moderna stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Moderna, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Moderna conference calls.
Moderna Stock Analysis Indicators
Moderna stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Moderna stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Moderna shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Moderna stock analysis, traders can identify Moderna position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.2 B | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 13.9 B | |
Tax Provision | 1.1 B | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.851 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 2.7 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 B | |
Cash | 2.9 B | |
Accounts Payable | 520 M | |
Net Debt | -1.7 B | |
50 Day M A | 40.6502 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 3 B | |
Other Operating Expenses | 11.1 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 8.1 B | |
Forward Price Earnings | 32.4675 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 523 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 305 M |
Complementary Tools for Moderna Stock analysis
When running Moderna's price analysis, check to measure Moderna's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moderna is operating at the current time. Most of Moderna's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moderna's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moderna's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moderna to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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