National Fuel Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| NFG Stock | USD 83.75 0.25 0.30% |
National Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of National Fuel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of National Fuel's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling National Fuel, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.041 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.915 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.3412 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.1943 | Wall Street Target Price 97.3333 |
Using National Fuel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Fuel Gas from the perspective of National Fuel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards National Fuel using National Fuel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards National using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of National Fuel's stock price.
National Fuel Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in National Fuel's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards National. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of National Fuel stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 83.5714 | Short Percent 0.0553 | Short Ratio 5.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 81.3202 |
National Relative Strength Index
National Fuel Gas Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to National Fuel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National Fuel Gas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of National Fuel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about National Fuel.
National Fuel Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
National Fuel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Fuel Gas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Fuel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Fuel stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Fuel's options are near their expiration.
National Fuel after-hype prediction price | USD 83.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Fuel to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current National contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that National Fuel Gas will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With National Fuel trading at USD 83.75, that is roughly USD 0.0194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating National Fuel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring National Fuel Gas options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 National Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast National Fuel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in National Fuel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for National Fuel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current National Fuel's open interest, investors have to compare it to National Fuel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of National Fuel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in National. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
National Fuel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 41377.29 | 27897.28 |
| Check National Fuel Volatility | Backtest National Fuel | Information Ratio |
National Fuel Trading Date Momentum
| On January 30 2026 National Fuel Gas was traded for 83.75 at the closing time. Highest National Fuel's price during the trading hours was 84.48 and the lowest price during the day was 82.54 . The net volume was 1.2 M. The overall trading history on the 30th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.32% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare National Fuel to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for National Fuel
For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National Fuel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National Fuel's price trends.National Fuel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Fuel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Fuel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Fuel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
National Fuel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National Fuel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National Fuel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National Fuel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify National Fuel Gas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
National Fuel Risk Indicators
The analysis of National Fuel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Fuel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8631 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for National Fuel
The number of cover stories for National Fuel depends on current market conditions and National Fuel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National Fuel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National Fuel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
National Fuel Short Properties
National Fuel's future price predictability will typically decrease when National Fuel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of National Fuel Gas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential National Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Fuel to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Can Gas Utilities industry sustain growth momentum? Does National have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating National Fuel demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.041 | Dividend Share 2.12 | Earnings Share 7.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.186 |
Investors evaluate National Fuel Gas using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating National Fuel's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause National Fuel's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between National Fuel's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Fuel should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, National Fuel's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.