Exicure Stock Analysis

XCUR Stock  USD 18.38  7.52  69.24%   
Exicure is overvalued with Real Value of 9.98 and Target Price of 5.56. The main objective of Exicure stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Exicure is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Exicure's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Exicure stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Exicure is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Exicure Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Exicure. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
To learn how to invest in Exicure Stock, please use our How to Invest in Exicure guide.

Exicure Stock Analysis Notes

About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.02. Exicure had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 28th of August 2024. Exicure, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops therapies for neurological disorders and hair loss based on its proprietary spherical nucleic acid technology. Exicure, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Exicure operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs people. For more information please call Paul Kang at 847 673 1700 or visit https://www.exicuretx.com.

Exicure Investment Alerts

Exicure is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Exicure appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Exicure has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (16.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.06 M.
Exicure currently holds about 22.2 M in cash with (10.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.47.
Exicure has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Capricor Therapeutics Stock Surges Amid Positive Analyst Ratings - GuruFocus.com

Exicure Upcoming and Recent Events

25th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Exicure Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Exicure's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-11-14
2022-09-30-0.9-1.04-0.1415 
2019-11-07
2019-09-30-3-2.70.310 
2021-05-12
2021-03-31-3.75-4.2-0.4512 
View All Earnings Estimates

Exicure Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Exicure's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Exicure's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Exicure's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Exicure's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Exicure Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
63.0
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
10.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
0.0
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
0.0
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
0.0
Virtu Financial Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Two Sigma Securities, Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
56.5 K
Northwestern University2024-06-30
52.1 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
46 K
Note, although Exicure's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Exicure Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 39.93 M.

Exicure Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.46)(1.39)
Return On Capital Employed(1.65)(1.74)
Return On Assets(1.46)(1.39)
Return On Equity(5.58)(5.30)

Management Efficiency

Exicure has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2641) % which means that it has lost $0.2641 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.4441) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Exicure's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Exicure manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 11/23/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -1.39. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -1.74. At this time, Exicure's Net Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/23/2024, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 3.1 M, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 7.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.38  0.36 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.38  0.36 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(1.87)(1.78)
Price Book Value Ratio 7.67  7.28 
Enterprise Value Multiple(1.87)(1.78)
Price Fair Value 7.67  7.28 
Enterprise Value29.1 M45.5 M
Exicure benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Operating Margin
(11.93)
Beta
1.283
Return On Assets
(0.26)
Return On Equity
(1.44)

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of November, Exicure shows the Downside Deviation of 8.12, mean deviation of 12.94, and Coefficient Of Variation of 410.36. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of Exicure, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Exicure coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Exicure is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 18.38 per share. Given that Exicure has jensen alpha of 4.68, we urge you to verify Exicure's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Exicure Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Exicure middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Exicure. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Exicure Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Exicure insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Exicure's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Exicure insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Exicure Outstanding Bonds

Exicure issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Exicure uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Exicure bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Exicure has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Exicure Predictive Daily Indicators

Exicure intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Exicure stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Exicure Corporate Filings

22nd of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
20th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
14th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
30th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
18th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
16th of September 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
ViewVerify
8K
13th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
26th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Exicure Forecast Models

Exicure's time-series forecasting models are one of many Exicure's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Exicure's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Exicure Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Exicure prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Exicure shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Exicure. By using and applying Exicure Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Exicure entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.07)(0.08)
Operating Profit Margin(0.06)(0.06)
Net Loss(0.08)(0.08)
Gross Profit Margin 0.84  0.88 

Current Exicure Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Exicure analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Exicure analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
5.56Strong Buy4Odds
Exicure current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Exicure analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Exicure stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Exicure, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Exicure conference calls.
Exicure Analyst Advice Details

Exicure Stock Analysis Indicators

Exicure stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Exicure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Exicure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Exicure stock analysis, traders can identify Exicure position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow9.8 M
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Total Stockholder EquityM
Capital Lease Obligations6.7 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net6.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments816 K
Cash816 K
Accounts Payable1.6 M
Net Debt5.8 M
50 Day M A3.266
Net Interest Income32 K
Total Current Liabilities2.5 M
Other Operating Expenses15 M
Non Current Assets Total9.6 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity11.6 M
Non Currrent Assets OtherM
Stock Based Compensation1.3 M

Additional Tools for Exicure Stock Analysis

When running Exicure's price analysis, check to measure Exicure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exicure is operating at the current time. Most of Exicure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exicure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exicure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exicure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.