Exicure Stock Performance
| XCUR Stock | USD 3.58 0.01 0.28% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Exicure holds a performance score of 1. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.51, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Exicure will likely underperform. Please check Exicure's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Exicure's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Exicure are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Exicure reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Exicure Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 412.00 in Exicure on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (54.00) from holding Exicure or give up 13.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Exicure is currently generating 0.2261% in daily expected returns and assumes 9.6865% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 87% of stocks are less volatile than Exicure, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Exicure Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Exicure Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.58 | 90 days | 3.58 | over 95.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exicure to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.15 (This Exicure probability density function shows the probability of Exicure Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Exicure Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exicure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exicure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exicure's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exicure Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exicure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exicure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exicure, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exicure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Exicure Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exicure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exicure can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exicure had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Exicure has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 500 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.63 M). | |
| Exicure currently holds about 22.2 M in cash with (2.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Exicure has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Exicure Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exicure Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exicure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exicure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.5 M |
Exicure Fundamentals Growth
Exicure Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Exicure, and Exicure fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Exicure Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.18 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.45 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 21.93 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 6.37 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.75 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 74.42 X | ||||
| Revenue | 500 K | ||||
| EBITDA | (8.85 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 22.2 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.47 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 5.93 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.53 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.09 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.91 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.72) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 15.06 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (199.26 M) | ||||
About Exicure Performance
Assessing Exicure's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Exicure's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Exicure is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Exicure, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops therapies for neurological disorders and hair loss based on its proprietary spherical nucleic acid technology. Exicure, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Exicure operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs people.Things to note about Exicure performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exicure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Exicure help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exicure had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Exicure has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 500 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.63 M). | |
| Exicure currently holds about 22.2 M in cash with (2.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Exicure has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
- Analyzing Exicure's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Exicure's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Exicure's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Exicure's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Exicure's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Exicure's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Exicure's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Exicure Stock Analysis
When running Exicure's price analysis, check to measure Exicure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exicure is operating at the current time. Most of Exicure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exicure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exicure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exicure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.